Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-018-2301-4 |
Potential impacts of climate change on storage conditions for commercial agriculture: an example for potato production in Michigan | |
Winkler, Julie A.1; Soldo, Logan1; Tang, Ying1; Forbush, Todd2; Douches, David S.3,4; Long, Chris M.3,4; Leisner, Courtney P.5; Buell, C. Robin4,5,6 | |
2018-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 151期号:2页码:275-287 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Climate change is anticipated to influence all parts of agricultural production systems. However, the potential impacts on crop storage have rarely been assessed, even though storage is an important component of a grower's marketing strategy and is essential for the continuous supply of a commodity for processors, exporters, and consumers. The Michigan chip-processing potato industry provides an example of the importance of crop storage. Michigan is the largest producer of chip-processing potatoes in the USA, and potatoes are stored on farms from September to June. We use an ensemble of climate projections developed for three future time slices (early, mid, and late century) from 16 climate models forced by three greenhouse gas concentration pathways to assess future changes in potato storage conditions. Our findings indicate an increased future demand for ventilation and/or refrigeration immediately after harvest and again in spring and early summer, even for the early-century time slice. Furthermore, the period of reliably cold storage temperatures during winter is anticipated, when averaged across all models, to shorten by 11-17days in Michigan's primary production area and 14-20days in the more southern secondary area by mid-century, and by 15-29days and 31-35days, respectively, for the northern and southern production areas by late century. The level of uncertainty, as indicated by the ensemble range, is large, although the sign of the projected changes in storage parameters is consistent. This case study provides an example of the potentially large effects of climate change on the storage conditions for agricultural commodities. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000451021600013 |
WOS关键词 | VARIABILITY ; ADAPTATION |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30319 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Michigan State Univ, Dept Geog Environm & Spatial Sci, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA; 2.Techmark Inc, Lansing, MI USA; 3.Michigan State Univ, Dept Plant Soil & Microbial Sci, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA; 4.Michigan State Univ, MSU AgBioRes, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA; 5.Michigan State Univ, Dept Plant Biol, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA; 6.Michigan State Univ, Plant Resilience Inst, E Lansing, MI 48824 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Winkler, Julie A.,Soldo, Logan,Tang, Ying,et al. Potential impacts of climate change on storage conditions for commercial agriculture: an example for potato production in Michigan[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,151(2):275-287. |
APA | Winkler, Julie A..,Soldo, Logan.,Tang, Ying.,Forbush, Todd.,Douches, David S..,...&Buell, C. Robin.(2018).Potential impacts of climate change on storage conditions for commercial agriculture: an example for potato production in Michigan.CLIMATIC CHANGE,151(2),275-287. |
MLA | Winkler, Julie A.,et al."Potential impacts of climate change on storage conditions for commercial agriculture: an example for potato production in Michigan".CLIMATIC CHANGE 151.2(2018):275-287. |
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