Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-018-2286-z |
Effects of climate change on the phenology of Osmia cornifrons: implications for population management | |
Lee, Eungul1; He, Yaqian1; Park, Yong-Lak2 | |
2018-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 150页码:305-317 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The phenology of many ecological processes including pollination service is modulated by surface air temperature, making them potentially sensitive to climatic change. The Japanese hornfaced bee, Osmia cornifrons (Hymenoptera: Megachilidae), was introduced into the USA in the 1970s and has been used as a key pollinator of spring blooming fruit crops such as apple and blueberry. This study examined the effects of future climate change on three key phenological events of O. cornifrons: date for adult emergence (female and male) in spring, date for completion of egg and larval development, and duration for the development in the Eastern USA. We used daily temperature data obtained from 21 models in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 for 2006-2100 under the two future climate scenarios of Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5). We estimated the Julian dates (JDs) of spring emergence and development of O. cornifrons using the phenological parameters derived from temperature-dependent biophysical models. The JDs for the bee emergence and development are projected to be significantly advanced in the Eastern USA under the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. The number of days for bee development is projected to be longer in the southern region (+0.57days/decade) and shorter in the central (-0.27days/decade) and northern (-0.65days/decade) regions of the Eastern USA (all the p values <0.01). The significantly longer duration of bee development under future climate change could pose a risk to the bee due to the longer period of being exposed to its pests. Implications for management of O. cornifrons population were discussed in this article. |
英文关键词 | Future climate change Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios Phenology Pollinator bee |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000448034000012 |
WOS关键词 | HYMENOPTERA-MEGACHILIDAE ; TEMPERATURE ; EMERGENCE ; MODEL ; RESPONSES ; BEES |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30298 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.West Virginia Univ, Dept Geol & Geog, Morgantown, WV 26506 USA; 2.West Virginia Univ, Div Plant & Soil Sci, Entomol Program, Morgantown, WV 26506 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lee, Eungul,He, Yaqian,Park, Yong-Lak. Effects of climate change on the phenology of Osmia cornifrons: implications for population management[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,150:305-317. |
APA | Lee, Eungul,He, Yaqian,&Park, Yong-Lak.(2018).Effects of climate change on the phenology of Osmia cornifrons: implications for population management.CLIMATIC CHANGE,150,305-317. |
MLA | Lee, Eungul,et al."Effects of climate change on the phenology of Osmia cornifrons: implications for population management".CLIMATIC CHANGE 150(2018):305-317. |
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