Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-018-2261-8 |
Range expansion and redefinition of a crop-raiding rodent associated with global warming and temperature increase | |
Mori, Emiliano1; Sforzi, Andrea2; Bogliani, Giuseppe3; Milanesi, Pietro4 | |
2018-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 150页码:319-331 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Italy; Switzerland |
英文摘要 | Since the 1970s, the crested porcupine Hystrix cristata has shown a marked range expansion in Italy. A web page has been created to collect occurrences of this species to monitor its distribution redefinition. Thus, aims of this work were (i) to identify the main predictors promoting the distribution of this large rodent in Italy and (ii) to predict its potential expansion under future climate change scenarios. A total of 1674 locations were used for this analysis, i.e., all those collected through the web page, with the exception of recently introduced populations (Sardinia, Western Liguria and Province of Varese). The current distribution of the crested porcupine covers a total of 135,177km(2), as estimated through ensemble predictions. Future climate change scenarios for 2050 and 2070 show that a further range expansion by this species would occur up to 225,576km(2), mainly towards areas where the species was historically absent. The increase of isothermality (i.e., the ratio between the mean diurnal and the annual temperature range) and the mean temperature of the driest months would help crested porcupines to reach high altitudes, e.g., in the Alps. In mountain habitats, the ongoing global warming is shifting the distribution of European forests to high elevations, thus potentially providing porcupines with suitable habitats. A reduction in snow cover and the snow period at ground level would remove an important barrier to the range expansion of the crested porcupine in Italy, and thus facilitate digging and food search by this large rodent. Despite being protected at national and international levels, the crested porcupine is reported to be an introduced species to Italy and, therefore, monitoring its range expansion is required. Furthermore, there are complaints about crop damage in agriculture ecosystems, and the species is still widely poached, thus additional management practices are required. Thus, given the conservation interest of this large rodent, an integrated and constantly updated monitoring system that sustains an addressed set of decision-making tools is recommended. |
英文关键词 | Climate change Hystrix cristata Italian peninsula Management practices Range redefinition |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000448034000013 |
WOS关键词 | HYSTRIX-CRISTATA-L ; 1758 MAMMALIA RODENTIA ; CRESTED-PORCUPINE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; HABITAT USE ; LIMITS ; PATTERNS ; IMPACTS ; MODELS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30227 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Siena, Dept Life Sci, Res Unit Behav Ecol Ethol & Wildlife Management, Via PA Mattioli 4, I-53100 Siena, Italy; 2.Museo Storia Nat Maremma, Str Corsini 5, I-58100 Grosseto, Italy; 3.Univ Pavia, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Via Ferrata 1, I-27100 Pavia, Italy; 4.Swiss Ornithol Inst, Seerose 1, CH-6204 Sempach, Switzerland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mori, Emiliano,Sforzi, Andrea,Bogliani, Giuseppe,et al. Range expansion and redefinition of a crop-raiding rodent associated with global warming and temperature increase[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,150:319-331. |
APA | Mori, Emiliano,Sforzi, Andrea,Bogliani, Giuseppe,&Milanesi, Pietro.(2018).Range expansion and redefinition of a crop-raiding rodent associated with global warming and temperature increase.CLIMATIC CHANGE,150,319-331. |
MLA | Mori, Emiliano,et al."Range expansion and redefinition of a crop-raiding rodent associated with global warming and temperature increase".CLIMATIC CHANGE 150(2018):319-331. |
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