Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-018-2298-8 |
Mapping the vulnerability of European summer tourism under 2 degrees C global warming | |
Koutroulis, Aristeidis G.1; Grillakis, M. G.1; Tsanis, I. K.1,2; Jacob, D.2 | |
2018-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 151期号:2页码:157-171 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Greece; Germany |
英文摘要 | Summer tourism is one of the most important contributors to the European GDP especially for the southern countries and is highly dependent on the climatic conditions. Changes in average climatic conditions, along with the potential subsequent changes in the physical environment, will pose stress on the favorability of the climate of European destinations for tourism and recreational activities. Here, we study the vulnerability of summer-oriented tourism due to a global temperature increase by 2 degrees C relative to the preindustrial era. We use a well-defined framework of exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity indicators for a set of plausible climate (RCPs) and socioeconomic (SSPs) combinations. Our result shows that a 2 degrees C global warming will pose substantial changes to the vulnerability of the European tourism sector. Despite the general increase in exposure, the vulnerability of summer tourism is highly depended on the socioeconomic developments (SSPs). Although exposure is higher for most of the popular southern European destinations like Spain, France, South Italy, southernmost Greece, and Cyprus, they are expected to be less vulnerable than others, under specific SSPs, due to their higher capacity to adapt to a different climate. The capacity to adapt is lower for higher emission scenarios. Substantial changes are also apparent at the subnational level. Countries like France are foreseen to experience very diverse impacts and vulnerabilities within their own territories that will have consequences in terms of domestic tourism. The dynamics of these changes are expected to alter the state of the current European tourism regime. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000451021600006 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE PROJECTIONS ; CHANGE IMPACT ; DEMAND ; 21ST-CENTURY ; PREFERENCES ; ADAPTATION ; RESOURCES ; ISLAND ; LEVEL |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30225 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Tech Univ Crete, Sch Environm Engn, Khania, Greece; 2.Helmholtz Ctr Geesthacht, Climate Serv Ctr Germany GERICS, Hamburg, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Koutroulis, Aristeidis G.,Grillakis, M. G.,Tsanis, I. K.,et al. Mapping the vulnerability of European summer tourism under 2 degrees C global warming[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,151(2):157-171. |
APA | Koutroulis, Aristeidis G.,Grillakis, M. G.,Tsanis, I. K.,&Jacob, D..(2018).Mapping the vulnerability of European summer tourism under 2 degrees C global warming.CLIMATIC CHANGE,151(2),157-171. |
MLA | Koutroulis, Aristeidis G.,et al."Mapping the vulnerability of European summer tourism under 2 degrees C global warming".CLIMATIC CHANGE 151.2(2018):157-171. |
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