资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

The North‐Atlantic warming hole (NAWH) is referred to as a reduced warming, or even cooling, of the North‐Atlantic during an anthropogenic‐driven global warming. A NAWH is predicted by climate models during the 21^st century and its pattern is already emerging in observations. Despite the known key role of the North‐Atlantic surface temperatures in setting the Northern‐Hemisphere climate, the mechanisms behind the NAWH are still not fully understood. Using state‐of‐the‐art climate models, we show that anthropogenic aerosol forcing opposes the formation of the NAWH (by leading to a local warming) and delays its emergence by about 30 years. In agreement with previous studies, we also demonstrate that the relative warming of the North‐Atlantic under aerosol forcing is due to changes in ocean heat fluxes, rather than air‐sea fluxes. These results suggest that the predicted reduction in aerosol forcing during the 21^st century may accelerate the formation of the NAWH.