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DOI | 10.1007/s10584-017-2130-x |
Downscaling future climate change projections over Puerto Rico using a non-hydrostatic atmospheric model | |
Bhardwaj, Amit1,2; Misra, Vasubandhu1,2,3; Mishra, Akhilesh1,4; Wootten, Adrienne5; Boyles, Ryan5; Bowden, J. H.6; Terando, Adam J.7,8 | |
2018-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 147页码:133-147 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; India |
英文摘要 | We present results from 20-year "high-resolution" regional climate model simulations of precipitation change for the sub-tropical island of Puerto Rico. The Japanese Meteorological Agency Non-Hydrostatic Model (NHM) operating at a 2-km grid resolution is nested inside the Regional Spectral Model (RSM) at 10-km grid resolution, which in turn is forced at the lateral boundaries by the Community Climate System Model (CCSM4). At this resolution, the climate change experiment allows for deep convection in model integrations, which is an important consideration for sub-tropical regions in general, and on islands with steep precipitation gradients in particular that strongly influence local ecological processes and the provision of ecosystem services. Projected precipitation change for this region of the Caribbean is simulated for the mid-twenty-first century (2041-2060) under the RCP8.5 climate-forcing scenario relative to the late twentieth century (1986-2005). The results show that by the mid-twenty-first century, there is an overall rainfall reduction over the island for all seasons compared to the recent climate but with diminished mid-summer drought (MSD) in the northwestern parts of the island. Importantly, extreme rainfall events on sub-daily and daily time scales also become slightly less frequent in the projected mid-twenty-first-century climate over most regions of the island. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000425959700011 |
WOS关键词 | PRECIPITATION ; PREDICTION ; SURFACES ; WEATHER ; CMIP5 |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30173 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Florida State Univ, Ctr Ocean Atmospher Predict Studies, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA; 2.Florida State Univ, Florida Climate Inst, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA; 3.Florida State Univ, Dept Earth Ocean & Atmospher Sci, Tallahassee, FL 32306 USA; 4.Amity Univ Rajasthan, COAST, Jaipur, Rajasthan, India; 5.North Carolina State Univ, Dept Marine Earth & Atmospher Sci, Raleigh, NC USA; 6.Univ North Carolina Chapel Hill, Inst Environm, Chapel Hill, NC USA; 7.US Geol Survey, Southeast Climate Sci Ctr, Raleigh, NC USA; 8.North Carolina State Univ, Dept Appl Ecol, Raleigh, NC USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bhardwaj, Amit,Misra, Vasubandhu,Mishra, Akhilesh,et al. Downscaling future climate change projections over Puerto Rico using a non-hydrostatic atmospheric model[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,147:133-147. |
APA | Bhardwaj, Amit.,Misra, Vasubandhu.,Mishra, Akhilesh.,Wootten, Adrienne.,Boyles, Ryan.,...&Terando, Adam J..(2018).Downscaling future climate change projections over Puerto Rico using a non-hydrostatic atmospheric model.CLIMATIC CHANGE,147,133-147. |
MLA | Bhardwaj, Amit,et al."Downscaling future climate change projections over Puerto Rico using a non-hydrostatic atmospheric model".CLIMATIC CHANGE 147(2018):133-147. |
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