Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-018-2217-z |
Six languages for a risky climate: how farmers react to weather and climate change | |
Findlater, Kieran M.1,2; Satterfield, Terre1; Kandlikar, Milind1; Donner, Simon D.3 | |
2018-06-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 148期号:4页码:451-465 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Canada; South Africa |
英文摘要 | How climate-sensitive actors-like commercial farmers-perceive, understand, and react to weather and climate stimuli will ultimately determine the success or failure of climate change adaptation policies. Many studies have characterized farmers' climate risk perceptions or farming practices, but few have evaluated the in situ decision-making processes that link (or fail to link) risk perceptions to adaptive behaviors. Here, we use a novel methodology to reveal patterns in climate-sensitive decision-making by commercial grain farmers in South Africa. We structure, linguistically code, and statistically analyze causal relationships described in 30 mental models interviews. We show that farmers' framing of weather and climate risks strongly predicts their adoption of conservation agriculture (CA)-climate-resilient best practices that reduce shorter-term financial and weather risks and longer-term agronomic risks. These farmers describe weather and climate risks using six exhaustive and mutually exclusive languages: agricultural, cognitive, economic, emotional, political, and survival. The prevalence of agricultural and economic language only weakly predicts CA practice, whereas emotional and farm survival language strongly limits CA adoption. The framing of weather risks in terms of farm survival impedes adaptations that are likely to improve such survival in the longer term. But this survival framing is not necessarily indicative of farmers' current economic circumstances. It represents a consequential mindset rather than a financial state and it may go undetected in more conventional studies relying on direct survey or interview questions. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000434459200001 |
WOS关键词 | CONSERVATION AGRICULTURE ; HOMO-ECONOMICUS ; ADAPTATION ; MANAGEMENT ; ADOPTION ; PERCEPTIONS ; AFRICA |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30116 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ British Columbia, Inst Resources Environm & Sustainabil, 429-2202 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada; 2.Univ Cape Town, African Climate & Dev Initiat, Geol Sci Bldg,Level 6,13 Lib Rd, ZA-7700 Cape Town, South Africa; 3.Univ British Columbia, Dept Geog, 1984 West Mall, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z2, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Findlater, Kieran M.,Satterfield, Terre,Kandlikar, Milind,et al. Six languages for a risky climate: how farmers react to weather and climate change[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2018,148(4):451-465. |
APA | Findlater, Kieran M.,Satterfield, Terre,Kandlikar, Milind,&Donner, Simon D..(2018).Six languages for a risky climate: how farmers react to weather and climate change.CLIMATIC CHANGE,148(4),451-465. |
MLA | Findlater, Kieran M.,et al."Six languages for a risky climate: how farmers react to weather and climate change".CLIMATIC CHANGE 148.4(2018):451-465. |
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