Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-017-1941-0 |
Temperature, maize yield, and civil conflicts in sub-Saharan Africa | |
Jun, Tackseung | |
2017-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE |
ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 142 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | South Korea |
英文摘要 | Civil conflicts have swept through many parts of sub-Saharan Africa in the past half century. Recently, scholars from backgrounds as diver as climate science, economics, political science, and anthropology have explored the effects of climate change on these civil conflicts, with mixed results. Our empirical results confirm effects of temperature on the incidence of civil conflict. The key findings are as follows: (i) between 1970 and 2012 in sub-Saharan Africa, a high temperature during maize growing season reduced the crop's yield, which in turn increased the incidence of civil conflict and (ii) future expected warming is expected to increase civil conflict incidence by 33% in the period 2031-2050, and by 100% in the period 2081-3010, compared to levels between 1981 and 2000. These results highlight the importance of sufficient food supplies and adaptation to increased climate warming to facilitate peace in sub-Saharan Africa. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000400095700014 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ECONOMIC SHOCKS ; GLOBAL CLIMATE ; PRICE SHOCKS ; WAR ; VIOLENCE |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/30043 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Kyung Hee Univ, Dept Econ, Seoul, South Korea |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jun, Tackseung. Temperature, maize yield, and civil conflicts in sub-Saharan Africa[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2017,142. |
APA | Jun, Tackseung.(2017).Temperature, maize yield, and civil conflicts in sub-Saharan Africa.CLIMATIC CHANGE,142. |
MLA | Jun, Tackseung."Temperature, maize yield, and civil conflicts in sub-Saharan Africa".CLIMATIC CHANGE 142(2017). |
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