Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-016-1852-5 |
Impacts of climate change on streamflow in the upper Yangtze River basin | |
Su, Buda1,2,3; Huang, Jinlong1; Zeng, Xiaofan4; Gao, Chao5; Jiang, Tong2,3 | |
2017-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 141期号:3 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | The impacts of climate change on streamflow in the upper Yangtze River basin were studied using four hydrological models driven by bias-corrected climate projections from five General Circulation Models under four Representative Concentration Pathways. The basin hydrological responses to climate forcing in future mid-century (2036-2065) and end-century (2070-2099) periods were assessed via comparison of simulation results in these periods to those in the reference period (1981-2010). An analysis of variance (ANOVA) approach was used to quantify the uncertainty sources associated with the climate inputs and hydrological model structures. Overall, the annual average discharge, seasonal high flow, and daily peak discharge were projected to increase in most cases in the twenty-first century but with considerable variability between models under the conditions of increasing temperature and a small to moderate increase in precipitation. Uncertainties in the projections increase over the time and are associated with hydrological model structures, but climate inputs represent the largest source of uncertainty in the upper Yangtze projections. This study assessed streamflow projections without considering water management practices within the basin. |
英文关键词 | Hydrological modeling Climate change Uncertainty The upper Yangtze River |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000396824300012 |
WOS关键词 | MULTIPLE GLOBAL CLIMATE ; UNCERTAINTY SOURCES ; HYDROLOGY ; FREQUENCY ; SCENARIOS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/29986 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Xinjiang Inst Ecol & Geog, State Key Lab Desert & Oasis Ecol, Urumqi 830011, Peoples R China; 2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China; 3.China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China; 4.Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Hydropower & Informat Engn, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China; 5.Anhui Normal Univ, Coll Territorial Resources & Tourism, Wuhu 241000, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Su, Buda,Huang, Jinlong,Zeng, Xiaofan,et al. Impacts of climate change on streamflow in the upper Yangtze River basin[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2017,141(3). |
APA | Su, Buda,Huang, Jinlong,Zeng, Xiaofan,Gao, Chao,&Jiang, Tong.(2017).Impacts of climate change on streamflow in the upper Yangtze River basin.CLIMATIC CHANGE,141(3). |
MLA | Su, Buda,et al."Impacts of climate change on streamflow in the upper Yangtze River basin".CLIMATIC CHANGE 141.3(2017). |
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