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DOI10.1007/s10584-017-2035-8
Leakage risks of geologic CO2 storage and the impacts on the global energy system and climate change mitigation
Deng, Hang1,2; Bielicki, Jeffrey M.3,4; Oppenheimer, Michael5,6; Fitts, Jeffrey P.1; Peters, Catherine A.1
2017-09-01
发表期刊CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN0165-0009
EISSN1573-1480
出版年2017
卷号144期号:2
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

This study investigated how subsurface and atmospheric leakage from geologic CO2 storage reservoirs could impact the deployment of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) in the global energy system. The Leakage Risk Monetization Model was used to estimate the costs of leakage for representative CO2 injection scenarios, and these costs were incorporated into the Global Change Assessment Model. Worst-case scenarios of CO2 leakage risk, which assume that all leakage pathway permeabilities are extremely high, were simulated. Even with this extreme assumption, the associated costs of monitoring, treatment, containment, and remediation resulted in minor shifts in the global energy system. For example, the reduction in CCS deployment in the electricity sector was 3% for the "high" leakage scenario, with replacement coming from fossil fuel and biomass without CCS, nuclear power, and renewable energy. In other words, the impact on CCS deployment under a realistic leakage scenario is likely to be negligible. We also quantified how the resulting shifts will impact atmospheric CO2 concentrations. Under a carbon tax that achieves an atmospheric CO2 concentration of 480 ppm in 2100, technology shifts due to leakage costs would increase this concentration by less than 5 ppm. It is important to emphasize that this increase does not result from leaked CO2 that reaches the land surface, which is minimal due to secondary trapping in geologic strata above the storage reservoir. The overall conclusion is that leakage risks and associated costs will likely not interfere with the effectiveness of policies for climate change mitigation.


英文关键词Carbon capture, utilization and storage Geologic CO2 storage Leakage risk Climate change mitigation Integrated assessment modeling GCAM Carbon tax Representative concentration pathways
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000409001300006
WOS关键词CARBON-DIOXIDE CAPTURE ; SEQUESTRATION POLICIES ; STABILIZATION ; EFFICIENCY ; ECONOMICS ; EMPHASIS
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/29980
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Princeton Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA;
2.Lawrence Berkeley Natl Lab, Energy Geosci Div, Earth & EnvironmentalSci Area, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA;
3.Ohio State Univ, Dept Civil Environm & Geodet Engn, Columbus, OH 43210 USA;
4.Ohio State Univ, John Glenn Coll Publ Affairs, Columbus, OH 43210 USA;
5.Princeton Univ, Dept Geosci, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA;
6.Princeton Univ, Woodrow Wilson Sch Publ & Int Affairs, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
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GB/T 7714
Deng, Hang,Bielicki, Jeffrey M.,Oppenheimer, Michael,et al. Leakage risks of geologic CO2 storage and the impacts on the global energy system and climate change mitigation[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2017,144(2).
APA Deng, Hang,Bielicki, Jeffrey M.,Oppenheimer, Michael,Fitts, Jeffrey P.,&Peters, Catherine A..(2017).Leakage risks of geologic CO2 storage and the impacts on the global energy system and climate change mitigation.CLIMATIC CHANGE,144(2).
MLA Deng, Hang,et al."Leakage risks of geologic CO2 storage and the impacts on the global energy system and climate change mitigation".CLIMATIC CHANGE 144.2(2017).
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