Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1073/pnas.2012002117 |
Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves | |
Ruiyun Li; Bin Chen; Tao Zhang; Zhehao Ren; Yimeng Song; Yixiong Xiao; Lin Hou; Jun Cai; Bo Xu; Miao Li; Karen Kie Yan Chan; Ying Tu; Mu Yang; Jing Yang; Zhaoyang Liu; Chong Shen; Che Wang; Lei Xu; Qiyong Liu; Shuming Bao; Jianqin Zhang; Yuhai Bi; Yuqi Bai; Ke Deng; Wusheng Zhang; Wenyu Huang; Jason D. Whittington; Nils Chr. Stenseth; Dabo Guan; Peng Gong; Bing Xu | |
2020-09-28 | |
发表期刊 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences |
出版年 | 2020 |
英文摘要 | Emerging evidence suggests a resurgence of COVID-19 in the coming years. It is thus critical to optimize emergency response planning from a broad, integrated perspective. We developed a mathematical model incorporating climate-driven variation in community transmissions and movement-modulated spatial diffusions of COVID-19 into various intervention scenarios. We find that an intensive 8-wk intervention targeting the reduction of local transmissibility and international travel is efficient and effective. Practically, we suggest a tiered implementation of this strategy where interventions are first implemented at locations in what we call the Global Intervention Hub, followed by timely interventions in secondary high-risk locations. We argue that thinking globally, categorizing locations in a hub-and-spoke intervention network, and acting locally, applying interventions at high-risk areas, is a functional strategy to avert the tremendous burden that would otherwise be placed on public health and society. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/298005 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ruiyun Li,Bin Chen,Tao Zhang,et al. Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,2020. |
APA | Ruiyun Li.,Bin Chen.,Tao Zhang.,Zhehao Ren.,Yimeng Song.,...&Bing Xu.(2020).Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. |
MLA | Ruiyun Li,et al."Global COVID-19 pandemic demands joint interventions for the suppression of future waves".Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (2020). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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