Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2020GL088295 |
Reappraisal of the climate impacts of ozone‐depleting substances | |
Olaf Morgenstern; Fiona M. O'Connor; Ben T. Johnson; Guang Zeng; Jane P. Mulcahy; Jonny Williams; Joã; o Teixeira; Martine Michou; Pierre Nabat; Larry W. Horowitz; Vaishali Naik; Lori T. Sentman; Makoto Deushi; Susanne E. Bauer; Kostas Tsigaridis; Drew T. Shindell; Douglas E. Kinnison | |
2020-09-28 | |
发表期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters
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出版年 | 2020 |
英文摘要 | We assess the effective radiative forcing due to ozone‐depleting substances using models participating in the Aerosols and Chemistry and Radiative Forcing Model Intercomparison Projects (AerChemMIP, RFMIP). A large inter‐model spread in this globally averaged quantity necessitates an ``emergent constraint" approach whereby we link the radiative forcing to ozone declines measured and simulated during 1979‐2000, excluding two volcanically perturbed periods. During this period ozone‐depleting substances were increasing, and several merged satellite‐based climatologies document the ensuing decline of total‐column ozone. Using these analyses we find an effective radiative forcing of ‐0.05 to 0.13 Wm‐2. Our best estimate (0.04 Wm‐2) is on the edge of the ``likely" range given by the 5th Assessment Report of IPCC of 0.03 to 0.33 Wm‐2, but is in better agreement} with two other literature results. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/297855 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Olaf Morgenstern,Fiona M. O'Connor,Ben T. Johnson,等. Reappraisal of the climate impacts of ozone‐depleting substances[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2020. |
APA | Olaf Morgenstern.,Fiona M. O'Connor.,Ben T. Johnson.,Guang Zeng.,Jane P. Mulcahy.,...&Douglas E. Kinnison.(2020).Reappraisal of the climate impacts of ozone‐depleting substances.Geophysical Research Letters. |
MLA | Olaf Morgenstern,et al."Reappraisal of the climate impacts of ozone‐depleting substances".Geophysical Research Letters (2020). |
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