Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.15286 |
Transient benefits of climate change for a high‐Arctic polar bear (Ursus maritimus) subpopulation | |
Kristin L. Laidre; Stephen N. Atkinson; Eric V. Regehr; Harry L. Stern; Erik W. Born; Ø; ystein Wiig; Nicholas J. Lunn; Markus Dyck; Patrick Heagerty; Benjamin R. Cohen | |
2020-09-23 | |
发表期刊 | Global Change Biology |
出版年 | 2020 |
英文摘要 | Kane Basin (KB) is one of the world's most northerly polar bear (Ursus maritimus) subpopulations, where bears have historically inhabited a mix of thick multiyear and annual sea ice year‐round. Currently, KB is transitioning to a seasonally ice‐free region because of climate change. This ecological shift has been hypothesized to benefit polar bears in the near‐term due to thinner ice with increased biological production, although this has not been demonstrated empirically. We assess sea‐ice changes in KB together with changes in polar bear movements, seasonal ranges, body condition, and reproductive metrics obtained from capture–recapture (physical and genetic) and satellite telemetry studies during two study periods (1993–1997 and 2012–2016). The annual cycle of sea‐ice habitat in KB shifted from a year‐round ice platform (~50% coverage in summer) in the 1990s to nearly complete melt‐out in summer (<5% coverage) in the 2010s. The mean duration between sea‐ice retreat and advance increased from 109 to 160 days (p = .004). Between the 1990s and 2010s, adult female (AF) seasonal ranges more than doubled in spring and summer and were significantly larger in all months. Body condition scores improved for all ages and both sexes. Mean litter sizes of cubs‐of‐the‐year (C0s) and yearlings (C1s), and the number of C1s per AF, did not change between decades. The date of spring sea‐ice retreat in the previous year was positively correlated with C1 litter size, suggesting smaller litters following years with earlier sea‐ice breakup. Our study provides evidence for range expansion, improved body condition, and stable reproductive performance in the KB polar bear subpopulation. These changes, together with a likely increasing subpopulation abundance, may reflect the shift from thick, multiyear ice to thinner, seasonal ice with higher biological productivity. The duration of these benefits is unknown because, under unmitigated climate change, continued sea‐ice loss is expected to eventually have negative demographic and ecological effects on all polar bears. |
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/296363 |
专题 | 气候变化 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kristin L. Laidre,Stephen N. Atkinson,Eric V. Regehr,等. Transient benefits of climate change for a high‐Arctic polar bear (Ursus maritimus) subpopulation[J]. Global Change Biology,2020. |
APA | Kristin L. Laidre.,Stephen N. Atkinson.,Eric V. Regehr.,Harry L. Stern.,Erik W. Born.,...&Benjamin R. Cohen.(2020).Transient benefits of climate change for a high‐Arctic polar bear (Ursus maritimus) subpopulation.Global Change Biology. |
MLA | Kristin L. Laidre,et al."Transient benefits of climate change for a high‐Arctic polar bear (Ursus maritimus) subpopulation".Global Change Biology (2020). |
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