Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41893-019-0405-0 |
Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity | |
Andrijevic, Marina1,2; Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo3,4,5; Muttarak, Raya4,6; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich1,2,7 | |
2020 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE SUSTAINABILITY |
ISSN | 2398-9629 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 3期号:1页码:35-41 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany; Austria; England |
英文摘要 | Governance is one of the critical components for sustainability, but quantification within scenarios and projections of future socioeconomic development has been lacking. This analysis of various pathways looks at how best to overcome 'weak' governance and strengthen adaptive capacity. Weak governance is one of the key obstacles for sustainable development. Undoubtedly, improvement of governance comes with a broad range of co-benefits, including countries' abilities to respond to pressing global challenges such as climate change. However, beyond the qualitative acknowledgement of its importance, quantifications of future pathways of governance are still lacking. This study provides projections of future governance in line with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. We find that under a 'rocky road' scenario, 30% of the global population would still live in countries characterized by weak governance in 2050, while under a 'green road' scenario, weak governance would be almost entirely overcome over the same time frame. On the basis of pathways for governance, we estimate the adaptive capacity of countries to climate change. Limits to adaptive capacity exist even under optimistic pathways beyond mid-century. Our findings underscore the importance of accounting for governance in assessments of climate change impacts. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000510817700009 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ADAPTATION ; 1.5-DEGREES-C ; ALLOCATION ; INEQUALITY ; CORRUPTION ; EDUCATION ; DEMOCRACY ; CONFLICT |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/289923 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Humboldt Univ, IRI THESys, Berlin, Germany; 2.Climate Analyt, Berlin, Germany; 3.Vienna Univ Econ & Business, Vienna, Austria; 4.Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria; 5.Austrian Inst Econ Res, Vienna, Austria; 6.Univ East Anglia, Sch Int Dev, Norwich, Norfolk, England; 7.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Andrijevic, Marina,Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo,Muttarak, Raya,et al. Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity[J]. NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2020,3(1):35-41. |
APA | Andrijevic, Marina,Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo,Muttarak, Raya,&Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich.(2020).Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity.NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,3(1),35-41. |
MLA | Andrijevic, Marina,et al."Governance in socioeconomic pathways and its role for future adaptive capacity".NATURE SUSTAINABILITY 3.1(2020):35-41. |
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