Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41893-019-0384-1 |
How conservation initiatives go to scale | |
Mills, Morena1,2,3; Bode, Michael4; Mascia, Michael B.5; Weeks, Rebecca6; Gelcich, Stefan7,8; Dudley, Nigel9,10; Govan, Hugh11; Archibald, Carla L.2,3,10; Romero-de-Diego, Cristina2,3,10; Holden, Matthew2,12; Biggs, Duan2,13,14,15; Glew, Louise16; Naidoo, Robin17; Possingham, Hugh P.3,18 | |
2019-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE SUSTAINABILITY |
ISSN | 2398-9629 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 2期号:10页码:935-940 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England; Australia; USA; Chile; Fiji; South Africa |
英文摘要 | Although a major portion of the planet's land and sea is managed to conserve biodiversity, little is known about the extent, speed and patterns of adoption of conservation initiatives. We undertook a quantitative exploration of how area-based conservation initiatives go to scale by analysing the adoption of 22 widely recognized and diverse initiatives from across the globe. We use a standardized approach to compare the potential of different initiatives to reach scale. While our study is not exhaustive, our analyses reveal consistent patterns across a variety of initiatives: adoption of most initiatives (82% of our case studies) started slowly before rapidly going to scale. Consistent with diffusion of innovation theory, most initiatives exhibit slow-fast-slow (that is, sigmoidal) dynamics driven by interactions between existing and potential adopters. However, uptake rates and saturation points vary among the initiatives and across localities. Our models suggest that the uptake of most of our case studies is limited; over half of the initiatives will be taken up by <30% of their potential adopters. We also provide a methodology for quantitatively understanding the process of scaling. Our findings inform us how initiatives scale up to widespread adoption, which will facilitate forecasts of the future level of adoption of initiatives, and benchmark their extent and speed of adoption against those of our case studies. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000489530200015 |
WOS关键词 | PROTECTED AREA NETWORKS ; MARINE ; PHILIPPINES ; DIFFUSION ; ECOLOGY ; TRENDS |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/289911 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Imperial Coll London, Dept Life Sci, Ascot, Berks, England; 2.Univ Queensland, Ctr Biodivers & Conservat Sci, St Lucia, Qld, Australia; 3.Univ Queensland, Australian Res Council, Ctr Excellence Environm Decis, St Lucia, Qld, Australia; 4.Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Math Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia; 5.Conservat Int, Moore Ctr Sci, Arlington, VA USA; 6.James Cook Univ, Australian Res Council, Ctr Excellence Coral Reef Studies, Townsville, Qld, Australia; 7.Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Ctr Appl Ecol & Sustainabil, Santiago, Chile; 8.Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Ctr Study Multiple Drivers Marine Socioecol Syst, Dept Ecol, Santiago, Chile; 9.Equilibrium Res, Bristol, Avon, England; 10.Univ Queensland, Sch Earth & Environm Sci, Brisbane, Qld, Australia; 11.Univ South Pacific, Sch Govt Dev & Int Affairs, Suva, Fiji; 12.Univ Queensland, Sch Math & Phys, Ctr Applicat Nat Resource Math, St Lucia, Qld, Australia; 13.Griffith Univ, Environm Futures Res Inst, Brisbane, Qld, Australia; 14.Stellenbosch Univ, Dept Conservat Ecol & Entomol, Matieland, South Africa; 15.Stellenbosch Univ, Sch Publ Leadership, Ctr Complex Syst Transit, Stellenbosch, South Africa; 16.World Wildlife Fund, Global Sci, 1250 24th St,NW, Washington, DC 20037 USA; 17.World Wildlife Fund, 1250 24th St,NW, Washington, DC 20037 USA; 18.Nature Conservancy, 1815 N Lynn St, Arlington, VA USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mills, Morena,Bode, Michael,Mascia, Michael B.,et al. How conservation initiatives go to scale[J]. NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2019,2(10):935-940. |
APA | Mills, Morena.,Bode, Michael.,Mascia, Michael B..,Weeks, Rebecca.,Gelcich, Stefan.,...&Possingham, Hugh P..(2019).How conservation initiatives go to scale.NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2(10),935-940. |
MLA | Mills, Morena,et al."How conservation initiatives go to scale".NATURE SUSTAINABILITY 2.10(2019):935-940. |
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