Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41893-018-0137-6 |
Hard-adaptive measures can increase vulnerability to storm surge and tsunami hazards over time | |
Logan, T. M.1; Guikema, D.1; Bricker, J. D.2 | |
2018-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE SUSTAINABILITY
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ISSN | 2398-9629 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 1期号:9页码:526-530 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Netherlands |
英文摘要 | Whether hard-adaptive measures (for example, seawalls) actually reduce vulnerability to natural hazards is the subject of considerable debate. Existing quantitative risk assessments often ignore behavioural feedbacks that some claim lead to increased development in hazardous zones. Here, we couple a tsunami model with a land-use change model and find that hard-adaptive measures can induce a false sense of security and inadvertently lead to increased vulnerability (that is, are maladaptive). We also observe that heightened hazard awareness (a type of soft-adaptation) can reduce vulnerability. Our results have two major implications: (1) they challenge existing hazard adaptation practice by quantitatively demonstrating the potential for hard-adaptive measures to be maladaptive, and (2) they highlight that ignoring the behavioural feedbacks in hazard assessment can alter the conclusions to the extent that they fail to identify maladaptive actions. In addition to the demonstrated case of tsunamis, the result may be relevant to other, repeatable natural hazards where urban growth influences exposure (for example, storm surge). Ultimately, neglecting future urban development and the temporal evolution of risk can result in incorrect conclusions regarding adaptation strategies; including these processes is therefore an essential consideration for the natural hazard and climate change impact communities. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000447321600017 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ADAPTATION STRATEGIES ; FLOOD RISK ; FRAMEWORK ; SCALE ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/289674 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Michigan, Dept Ind & Operat Engn, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA; 2.Delft Univ Technol, Dept Hydraul Engn, Delft, Netherlands |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Logan, T. M.,Guikema, D.,Bricker, J. D.. Hard-adaptive measures can increase vulnerability to storm surge and tsunami hazards over time[J]. NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2018,1(9):526-530. |
APA | Logan, T. M.,Guikema, D.,&Bricker, J. D..(2018).Hard-adaptive measures can increase vulnerability to storm surge and tsunami hazards over time.NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,1(9),526-530. |
MLA | Logan, T. M.,et al."Hard-adaptive measures can increase vulnerability to storm surge and tsunami hazards over time".NATURE SUSTAINABILITY 1.9(2018):526-530. |
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