Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41893-018-0134-9 |
Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections | |
Greve, P.; Kahil, T.; Mochizuki, J.; Schinko, T.; Satoh, Y.; Burek, P.; Fischer, G.; Tramberend, S.; Burtscher, R.; Langan, S.; Wada, Y. | |
2018-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE SUSTAINABILITY |
ISSN | 2398-9629 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 1期号:9页码:486-494 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Austria |
英文摘要 | Water scarcity, a critical environmental issue worldwide, has primarily been driven by a significant increase in water extractions during the last century. In the coming decades, climate and societal changes are projected to further exacerbate water scarcity in many regions worldwide. Today, a major issue for the ongoing policy debate is to identify interventions able to address water scarcity challenges in the presence of large uncertainties. Here, we take a probabilistic approach to assess global water scarcity projections following feasible combinations of shared socioeconomic pathways and representative concentration pathways for the first half of the twenty-first century. We identify-alongside trends in median water scarcity-changes in the uncertainty range of anticipated water scarcity conditions. Our results show that median water scarcity and the associated range of uncertainty are generally increasing worldwide, including many major river basins. On the basis of these results, we develop a general decision-making framework to enhance policymaking by identifying four representative clusters of specific water policy challenges and needs. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000447321600012 |
WOS关键词 | SHARED SOCIOECONOMIC PATHWAYS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ADAPTATION ; TRANSFORMATIONAL ADAPTATION ; AVAILABILITY ; FUTURE ; MANAGEMENT ; STRESS ; IMPACT ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/289669 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Greve, P.,Kahil, T.,Mochizuki, J.,et al. Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections[J]. NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2018,1(9):486-494. |
APA | Greve, P..,Kahil, T..,Mochizuki, J..,Schinko, T..,Satoh, Y..,...&Wada, Y..(2018).Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections.NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,1(9),486-494. |
MLA | Greve, P.,et al."Global assessment of water challenges under uncertainty in water scarcity projections".NATURE SUSTAINABILITY 1.9(2018):486-494. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论