Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2020.106636 |
Climate change costs more than we think because people adapt less than we assume | |
Gawith, David1; Hodge, Ian1; Morgan, Fraser2,3; Daigneault, Adam4 | |
2020-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS |
ISSN | 0921-8009 |
EISSN | 1873-6106 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 173 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England; New Zealand; USA |
英文摘要 | Human behaviour is commonly optimised in economic models of adaptation to climate change. These models assume that people work to maximise profit, subject to financial and technological limitations. In effect, these models simulate adaptive potential. In reality, adaptation falls short of this potential. This shortfall is conceptualised as the adaptation deficit, and it has been causing increasing concern. This study demonstrates the impacts of the ways by which people's real-world adaptive behaviours depart from those assumed under pure optimisation. These departures, known as adaptation constraints, are formalised as numerical preference functions based on an empirical case study in New Zealand, and they are used to constrain an agent-based model of climate change adaptation. We show that these empirically-specified adaptation constraints reduce profits relative to an optimised specification by roughly one third. This demonstrates that unconstrained economic models are likely to significantly underestimate the costs of adaptation to climate change, the benefits of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and the residual loss and damage that climate change will cause. |
英文关键词 | Adaptation constraints Adaptation deficit Adaptation costs Loss and damage Climate change IAMs |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000528870500005 |
WOS关键词 | LAND-USE ; ECOSYSTEM SERVICES ; BARRIERS ; UNCERTAINTY ; SIMULATION ; MITIGATION ; FRAMEWORK ; POLICIES ; COAST |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Economics ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/289324 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Cambridge, Dept Land Econ, 16-21 Silver St, Cambridge CB3 9EP, England; 2.Manaaki Whenua Landcare Res, 231 Morrin Rd, Auckland 1072, New Zealand; 3.Univ Auckland, Te Punaha Matatini, Private Bag 92019, Auckland 1011, New Zealand; 4.Univ Maine, Sch Forest Resources, Old Town, ME 04468 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gawith, David,Hodge, Ian,Morgan, Fraser,et al. Climate change costs more than we think because people adapt less than we assume[J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,2020,173. |
APA | Gawith, David,Hodge, Ian,Morgan, Fraser,&Daigneault, Adam.(2020).Climate change costs more than we think because people adapt less than we assume.ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,173. |
MLA | Gawith, David,et al."Climate change costs more than we think because people adapt less than we assume".ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS 173(2020). |
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