Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/2017GL073531 |
Unraveling anthropogenic influence on the changing risk of heat waves in China | |
Sun, Qiaohong1,2; Miao, Chiyuan1; AghaKouchak, Amir2; Duan, Qingyun1 | |
2017-05-28 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 44期号:10 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; USA |
英文摘要 | Heat waves trigger substantial social and environmental impacts and even cause massive civilian casualties in extreme cases. Observations show the areas affected by heat waves have increased over China, with the most extreme heat wave occurring during the past five decades. Here we show that both trends can be attributed to anthropogenic influences. We report that under the moderate Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 scenario, anthropogenic influences will increase the risk of occurrence of the observed maximum Heat Wave Magnitude Index in the late 21st century and will cause a more than tenfold increase in the likelihood of the strongest events on record recurring across more than half China. More than 50% of land area in China is projected to be affected by intense heat waves. Our results show that over eastern China, the extremes in heat distribution are more sensitive to precipitation deficits, indicating stronger heat wave amplification trends to occur under drier conditions. The likelihood of concurrent droughts and heat waves is expected to increase in large parts of China in the late 21st century. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000404131900083 |
WOS关键词 | SUMMER HEAT ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; INCREASE ; TEMPERATURES ; EXTREMES |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/28795 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ctr Hydrometeorol & Remote Sensing, Irvine, CA USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sun, Qiaohong,Miao, Chiyuan,AghaKouchak, Amir,et al. Unraveling anthropogenic influence on the changing risk of heat waves in China[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,44(10). |
APA | Sun, Qiaohong,Miao, Chiyuan,AghaKouchak, Amir,&Duan, Qingyun.(2017).Unraveling anthropogenic influence on the changing risk of heat waves in China.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,44(10). |
MLA | Sun, Qiaohong,et al."Unraveling anthropogenic influence on the changing risk of heat waves in China".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 44.10(2017). |
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