资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

Knowledge of coastal groundwater flow is critical for managing coastal groundwater resources and quantifying submarine groundwater discharge (SGD), but this flow occurs over multiple scales that can be difficult to study in an integrated way. We designed a field and modeling study to investigate groundwater flow and the distribution of salinity during sea level rise in a domain that included beaches and salt marshes and the first major confined aquifer, which reached 10‐15 km offshore. Numerical models were based on the flat‐lying, passive margin coastline of North Inlet, SC, and were constrained by field studies including sub‐surface resistivity surveys and hydraulic head observations. Simulations that included tidal fluctuations showed that the salt marsh generated more than three times as much SGD as the beach and inner shelf, per unit length of coastline. Groundwater exchange between scales was small, suggesting that physical fluxes of groundwater can be considered independently at different scales. However, salinization of the first major confined aquifer occurred by downward transport from overlying aquifers rather than intrusion from the seaward end, suggesting that studies of aquifer salinization should consider multiscale flow. During simulated sea level rise, fresh‐to‐brackish groundwater persisted in the first confined aquifer as far as the seaward end of the overlying confining unit, 10‐20 km offshore. Total fluxes of SGD decreased significantly with future sea‐level rise, dominated by declining SGD in the salt marsh, and portending a marked decline in the flux of nutrients and carbon to estuaries and the coastal ocean.