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DOI | 10.1029/2018GL077849 |
Reconciling Atmospheric and Oceanic Views of the Transient Climate Response to Emissions | |
Katavouta, Anna1; Williams, Richard G.1; Goodwin, Philip2; Roussenov, Vassil1 | |
2018-06-28 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 45期号:12页码:6205-6214 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England |
英文摘要 | The Transient Climate Response to Emissions (TCRE), the ratio of surface warming and cumulative carbon emissions, is controlled by a product of thermal and carbon contributions. The carbon contribution involves the airborne fraction and the ratio of ocean saturated and atmospheric carbon inventories, with this ratio controlled by ocean carbonate chemistry. The evolution of the carbon contribution to the TCRE is illustrated in a hierarchy of models: a box model of the atmosphere-ocean and an Earth system model, both integrated for 1,000years, and a suite of Earth system models integrated for 140years. For all models, there is the same generic carbonate chemistry response: An acidifying ocean during emissions leads to a decrease in the ratio of the ocean saturated and atmospheric carbon inventories and the carbon contribution to the TCRE. Hence, ocean carbonate chemistry is important in controlling the magnitude of the TCRE and its evolution in time. Plain Language Summary The increase in surface temperature with the amount of carbon emitted to the atmosphere depends on the uptake and storage of heat and carbon. Ocean heat uptake acts to strengthen surface warming, as the ocean becomes more stratified in time. Carbon uptake by the ocean and terrestrial system acts to weaken surface warming by removing carbon from the atmosphere. The proportionality of surface warming to carbon emissions may be written in terms of a thermal contribution multiplied by a carbon contribution. The carbon contribution depends on the increase in the atmospheric carbon inventory plus the maximum amount of carbon that the ocean may hold. To understand the role of ocean chemistry, we diagnose the response of climate models of differing complexity over centennial and millennial timescales. In all the models, there is a similar carbon response: During emissions, the ocean surface acidifies and the maximum amount of carbon that the ocean can hold decreases, which weakens the carbon contribution to the proportionality of surface warming to carbon emissions. Hence, ocean carbonate chemistry is important in controlling the proportionality of surface warming to carbon emissions and its evolution in time. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000438499100043 |
WOS关键词 | EARTH SYSTEM MODEL ; CARBON EMISSIONS ; SENSITIVITY ; PROPORTIONALITY ; FORMULATION |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/28516 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Liverpool, Dept Earth Ocean & Ecol Sci, Sch Environm Sci, Liverpool, Merseyside, England; 2.Univ Southampton, Sch Ocean & Earth Sci, Southampton, Hants, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Katavouta, Anna,Williams, Richard G.,Goodwin, Philip,et al. Reconciling Atmospheric and Oceanic Views of the Transient Climate Response to Emissions[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,45(12):6205-6214. |
APA | Katavouta, Anna,Williams, Richard G.,Goodwin, Philip,&Roussenov, Vassil.(2018).Reconciling Atmospheric and Oceanic Views of the Transient Climate Response to Emissions.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,45(12),6205-6214. |
MLA | Katavouta, Anna,et al."Reconciling Atmospheric and Oceanic Views of the Transient Climate Response to Emissions".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 45.12(2018):6205-6214. |
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