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Climate Economics Support for the UN Climate Targets
Martin Hänsel; Moritz Drupp; Daniel Johansson; Mark Freeman; Ben Groom; and Thomas Sterner
2020-07-13
出版年2020
国家美国
领域资源环境
英文摘要

Under the UN Paris Agreement, countries committed to limiting global warming to well below 2 °C and to actively pursue a 1.5 °C limit. Yet, according to the 2018 Economics Nobel laureate William Nordhaus, these targets are economically suboptimal or unattainable and the world community should aim for 3.5 °C in 2100 instead. Here, we show that the UN climate targets may be optimal even in the Dynamic Integrated Climate–Economy (DICE) integrated assessment model, when appropriately updated. Changes to DICE include more accurate calibration of the carbon cycle and energy balance model, and updated climate damage estimates. To determine economically ‘optimal’ climate policy paths, we use the range of expert views on the ethics of intergenerational welfare. When updates from climate science and economics are considered jointly, we find that around three-quarters (or one-third) of expert views on intergenerational welfare translate into economically optimal climate policy paths that are consistent with the 2 °C (or 1.5 °C) target.

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来源平台Resources for the Future
文献类型科技报告
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/284374
专题资源环境科学
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Martin Hänsel,Moritz Drupp,Daniel Johansson,et al. Climate Economics Support for the UN Climate Targets,2020.
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