Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-020-0826-9 |
The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis | |
Grant, Neil1; Hawkes, Adam2; Napp, Tamaryn1; Gambhir, Ajay1 | |
2020-06-29 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
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ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 10期号:7页码:605-610 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England |
英文摘要 | Comparing emissions scenarios is an essential part of mitigation analysis, as climate targets can be met in various ways with different economic, energy system and co-benefit implications. Typically, a central 'reference scenario' acts as a point of comparison, and often this has been a no policy baseline with no explicit mitigative action taken. The use of such baselines is under increasing scrutiny, raising a wider question around the appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis. In this Perspective, we assess three critical issues relevant to the use of reference scenarios, demonstrating how different policy contexts merit the use of different scenarios. We provide recommendations to the modelling community on best practice in the creation, use and communication of reference scenarios. Reference scenarios are used to evaluate different mitigation scenarios, allowing understanding of their relative strengths and weaknesses. This Perspective considers the appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis across different policy contexts. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000544168800006 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TECHNICAL CHANGE ; TECHNOLOGICAL-CHANGE ; PARIS AGREEMENT ; LEARNING-CURVE ; ENERGY ; INNOVATION ; COSTS ; REDUCTION ; MODELS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/281829 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Imperial Coll London, Grantham Inst Climate Change & Environm Imperial, London, England; 2.Imperial Coll London, Dept Chem Engn, London, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Grant, Neil,Hawkes, Adam,Napp, Tamaryn,et al. The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2020,10(7):605-610. |
APA | Grant, Neil,Hawkes, Adam,Napp, Tamaryn,&Gambhir, Ajay.(2020).The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,10(7),605-610. |
MLA | Grant, Neil,et al."The appropriate use of reference scenarios in mitigation analysis".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 10.7(2020):605-610. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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