Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2019JD031631 |
Mechanisms Linked to Recent Ozone Decreases in the Northern Hemisphere Lower Stratosphere | |
Orbe, Clara1; Wargan, Krzysztof2,3; Pawson, Steven3; Oman, Luke D.4 | |
2020-05-16 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES |
ISSN | 2169-897X |
EISSN | 2169-8996 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 125期号:9 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Previous studies have robustly identified a decrease since 1998 in lower stratospheric (LS) ozone in the Northern Hemisphere (NH). While this ozone decrease is qualitatively explained as resulting from changes in the large-scale circulation, there is not yet a quantitative mechanistic explanation of these changes. Here, we explore the drivers of recent ozone changes using two different configurations of the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) general circulation model. The first configuration of GEOS includes a full chemistry module and is constrained with meteorological fields from the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2). This configuration (M2GMI) is used to analyze an idealized tracer that covaries closely with ozone on interannual and decadal timescales, revealing that recent ozone decreases in the NH subtropics are associated with a poleward expansion of upwelling in the NH LS, with reduced (enhanced) downwelling over northern subtropics (midlatitudes). The second configuration of GEOS is a free-running version of the GEOS Chemistry Climate Model (CCM) that is used to perform a 10-member ensemble of free-running simulations. Comparisons of the two configurations reveal that, while the free-running model can produce negative ozone changes in the NH LS, the magnitude of these changes is significantly weaker, relative to both M2GMI and MERRA-2; moreover, these weaker ozone decreases are consistent with weaker simulated changes in the residual circulation. Finally, we examine the GEOS model results in the broader context of the hindcast simulations performed as part of Phase 1 of the Chemistry Climate Modeling Initiative. We show that the majority of the free-running simulations considered here also exhibit weaker long-term residual circulation changes, compared to reanalyses. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000536605500025 |
WOS关键词 | WATER-VAPOR ; MEAN AGE ; CIRCULATION ; MODEL ; TRANSPORT ; TRENDS ; REANALYSES ; AIR ; VARIABILITY ; EVOLUTION |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/280205 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA; 2.Sci Syst & Applicat Inc, Lanham, MD USA; 3.NASA, Global Modeling & Assimilat Off, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD USA; 4.NASA, Atmospher Chem & Dynam Lab, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Orbe, Clara,Wargan, Krzysztof,Pawson, Steven,et al. Mechanisms Linked to Recent Ozone Decreases in the Northern Hemisphere Lower Stratosphere[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,2020,125(9). |
APA | Orbe, Clara,Wargan, Krzysztof,Pawson, Steven,&Oman, Luke D..(2020).Mechanisms Linked to Recent Ozone Decreases in the Northern Hemisphere Lower Stratosphere.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,125(9). |
MLA | Orbe, Clara,et al."Mechanisms Linked to Recent Ozone Decreases in the Northern Hemisphere Lower Stratosphere".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES 125.9(2020). |
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