Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2018GL081888 |
Climate-Induced Changes in the Risk of Hydrological Failure of Major Dams in California | |
Mallakpour, Iman1; Aghakouchak, Amir1; Sadegh, Mojtaba2 | |
2019-02-28 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 46期号:4页码:2130-2139 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Existing major reservoirs in California, with average age above 50 years, were built in the previous century with limited data records and flood hazard assessment. Changes in climate and land use are anticipated to alter statistical properties of inflow to these infrastructure systems and potentially increase their hydrological failure probability. Because of large socioeconomic repercussions of infrastructure incidents, revisiting dam failure risks associated with possible shifts in the streamflow regime is fundamental for societal resilience. Here we compute historical and projected flood return periods as a proxy for potential changes in the risk of hydrological failure of dams in a warming climate. Our results show that hydrological failure probability is likely to increase for most dams in California by 2100. Noticeably, the New Don Pedro, Shasta, Lewiston, and Trinity Dams are associated with highest potential changes in flood hazard. |
英文关键词 | climate change failure probability flood hazard major dams in California |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000461855600026 |
WOS关键词 | FLOOD RISK ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; UNITED-STATES ; PRECIPITATION ; STREAMFLOW ; EXTREMES ; LESSONS ; RUNOFF ; MODEL ; UNCERTAINTY |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/28011 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Irvine, CA 92697 USA; 2.Boise State Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Boise, ID 83725 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mallakpour, Iman,Aghakouchak, Amir,Sadegh, Mojtaba. Climate-Induced Changes in the Risk of Hydrological Failure of Major Dams in California[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,46(4):2130-2139. |
APA | Mallakpour, Iman,Aghakouchak, Amir,&Sadegh, Mojtaba.(2019).Climate-Induced Changes in the Risk of Hydrological Failure of Major Dams in California.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(4),2130-2139. |
MLA | Mallakpour, Iman,et al."Climate-Induced Changes in the Risk of Hydrological Failure of Major Dams in California".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.4(2019):2130-2139. |
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