Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2019GL085905 |
Decadal Attribution of Historic Temperature and Ocean Heat Content Change to Anthropogenic Emissions | |
Larson, E. J. L.1,2; Portmann, R. W.1; Solomon, S.3; Murphy, D. M.1 | |
2020-02-16 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
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ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 47期号:3 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | We present an alternative method of calculating the historical effective radiative forcing using the observed temperature record and a kernel based on the 5th Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) temperature response. This estimate is the effective radiative forcing time series that the average climate model would need to simulate the observed global mean surface temperature anomalies. We further infer the anthropogenic aerosols radiative forcing as a residual using the better-known greenhouse gas radiative forcing. This allows an independent estimate of anthropogenic aerosol radiative forcing, which suggests a cooling influence due to aerosols in the early part of the twentieth century. The temporal kernels are also used to calculate decadal contributions from the dominant forcing agents to present-day temperature, ocean heat content, and thermosteric sea level rise. The current global mean temperature anomaly is dominated by emissions in the past two decades, while current ocean heat content is more strongly affected by earlier decades. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000529107400018 |
WOS关键词 | CARBON-DIOXIDE ; CLIMATE SENSITIVITY ; CMIP5 |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/279643 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Boulder, CO 80305 USA; 2.Harvard Univ, Dept Organism & Evolutionary Biol, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA; 3.MIT, Dept Earth Atmospher & Planetary Sci, Cambridge, MA USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Larson, E. J. L.,Portmann, R. W.,Solomon, S.,et al. Decadal Attribution of Historic Temperature and Ocean Heat Content Change to Anthropogenic Emissions[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2020,47(3). |
APA | Larson, E. J. L.,Portmann, R. W.,Solomon, S.,&Murphy, D. M..(2020).Decadal Attribution of Historic Temperature and Ocean Heat Content Change to Anthropogenic Emissions.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,47(3). |
MLA | Larson, E. J. L.,et al."Decadal Attribution of Historic Temperature and Ocean Heat Content Change to Anthropogenic Emissions".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 47.3(2020). |
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