Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/ab6615 |
Compounding climate change impacts during high stress periods for a high wind and solar power system in Texas | |
Craig, Michael T.1; Jaramillo, Paulina2; Hodge, Bri-Mathias3,4; Nijssen, Bart5; Brancucci, Carlo6 | |
2020-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 15期号:2 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Power system planning aims at ensuring that sufficient supply- and demand-side assets exist to meet electricity demand at all times. For a Texas electric power system with high wind and solar penetrations, we quantify how climate change will affect supply and demand during three types of high stress periods for the power grid: high demand hours, high net demand hours, and high system ramp hours. We specifically quantify effects on demand, reductions in available thermal capacity (i.e. thermal deratings), wind and solar generation, and net demand. We estimate each using meteorological variables from five climate change projections (2041-2050) assuming Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 and from a reference period (1996-2005). All five projections indicate that climate change will increase demand by up to 2 GWh during high demand hours (4% of demand in the reference period) and increase net demand by up to 3 GWh during high net demand periods (6% of net demand in the reference period). All five projections also indicate thermal deratings will increase during high demand and net demand periods by up to 2 GWh and high net demand ramps will increase by up to 2 GW. Overall, our results indicate compounding effects of climate change in Texas will necessitate greater investment in peak and flexible capacity. |
英文关键词 | renewable energy climate change power system planning thermal derating climate change impacts climate change adaptation |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000520426100001 |
WOS关键词 | ENVIRONMENTAL-TEMPERATURE CHANGE ; ELECTRICITY SYSTEMS ; UNITED-STATES ; DEMAND ; VULNERABILITY ; GENERATION ; RESOURCE ; MODELS ; VARIABILITY ; PROJECTIONS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/279179 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA; 2.Carnegie Mellon Univ, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA; 3.Univ Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309 USA; 4.Natl Renewable Energy Lab, Golden, CO 80401 USA; 5.Univ Washington, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; 6.Encoord LLC, Edgewater, CO 80214 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Craig, Michael T.,Jaramillo, Paulina,Hodge, Bri-Mathias,et al. Compounding climate change impacts during high stress periods for a high wind and solar power system in Texas[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2020,15(2). |
APA | Craig, Michael T.,Jaramillo, Paulina,Hodge, Bri-Mathias,Nijssen, Bart,&Brancucci, Carlo.(2020).Compounding climate change impacts during high stress periods for a high wind and solar power system in Texas.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,15(2). |
MLA | Craig, Michael T.,et al."Compounding climate change impacts during high stress periods for a high wind and solar power system in Texas".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 15.2(2020). |
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