GSTDTAP  > 资源环境科学
DOI10.1111/ele.13441
A 450 million years long latitudinal gradient in age-dependent extinction
Silvestro, Daniele1,2,3; Castiglione, Silvia4; Mondanaro, Alessandro4,5; Serio, Carmela4; Melchionna, Marina4; Piras, Paolo6,7,8; Di Febbraro, Mirko9; Carotenuto, Francesco4; Rook, Lorenzo5; Raia, Pasquale4
2020-03-01
发表期刊ECOLOGY LETTERS
ISSN1461-023X
EISSN1461-0248
出版年2020
卷号23期号:3页码:439-446
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Sweden; Switzerland; Italy
英文摘要

Leigh Van Valen famously stated that under constant conditions extinction probability is independent of species age. To test this 'law of constant extinction', we developed a new method using deep learning to infer age-dependent extinction and analysed 450 myr of marine life across 21 invertebrate clades. We show that extinction rate significantly decreases with age in > 90% of the cases, indicating that most species died out soon after their appearance while those which survived experienced ever decreasing extinction risk. This age-dependent extinction pattern is stronger towards the Equator and holds true when the potential effects of mass extinctions and taxonomic inflation are accounted for. These results suggest that the effect of biological interactions on agedependent extinction rate is more intense towards the tropics. We propose that the latitudinal diversity gradient and selection at the species level account for this exceptional, yet little recognised, macroevolutionary and macroecological pattern.


英文关键词' law of constant extinction' deep learning fossil occurrences neural networks mass extinction
领域资源环境
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000534146900003
WOS关键词RED QUEEN ; SPECIES SELECTION ; DIVERSITY ; RATES ; EVOLUTIONARY ; BIODIVERSITY ; DYNAMICS ; ORIGINATION ; SPECIATION ; LESSONS
WOS类目Ecology
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/279085
专题资源环境科学
作者单位1.Univ Gothenburg, Dept Biol & Environm Sci, Gothenburg, Sweden;
2.Gothenburg Global Biodivers Ctr, Gothenburg, Sweden;
3.Univ Lausanne, Dept Computat Biol, Lausanne, Switzerland;
4.Monte St Angelo, Dipartimento Sci Terra Ambiente & Risorse, Via Cinthia 21, I-80126 Naples, Italy;
5.Dipartimento Sci Terra, Via G La Pira 4, I-50121 Florence, Italy;
6.Sapienza, Dipartimento Sci Cardiovasc Resp Nefrol Anestesio, Rome, Italy;
7.Sapienza Univ Roma, Dipartimento Ingn Strutturale & Geotecn, Via Eudossiana 18, I-00100 Rome, Italy;
8.Univ Roma, Via Policlin 155, I-00161 Rome, Italy;
9.Univ Molise, Dipartimento Biosci & Terr, C da Fonte Lappone 15, I-86090 Pesche, IS, Italy
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Silvestro, Daniele,Castiglione, Silvia,Mondanaro, Alessandro,et al. A 450 million years long latitudinal gradient in age-dependent extinction[J]. ECOLOGY LETTERS,2020,23(3):439-446.
APA Silvestro, Daniele.,Castiglione, Silvia.,Mondanaro, Alessandro.,Serio, Carmela.,Melchionna, Marina.,...&Raia, Pasquale.(2020).A 450 million years long latitudinal gradient in age-dependent extinction.ECOLOGY LETTERS,23(3),439-446.
MLA Silvestro, Daniele,et al."A 450 million years long latitudinal gradient in age-dependent extinction".ECOLOGY LETTERS 23.3(2020):439-446.
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