资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

This study uses Weather Research and Forecasting model, coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem), to understand black carbon (BC) vertical transport over South Asia during the active convection period. We analyze the climatology (1995-2014) of convective weather using TRMM lightning data. The results show both temporal and spatial variability within South Asia. The WRF-Chem model simulation for BC transport was conducted for an ENSO (El-Nino Southern Oscillation) moderate year - 2013. The model simulates the observed concentrations trend for most of the region except the central Himalayan cities. Our analysis indicates the dominant role of synoptic atmospheric dynamics and upper boundary conditions for the inverted seasonal trend of BC during the pre-monsoon season over these cities. The study presents time series and seasonal scale analysis of BC concentration over South Asia at various altitude levels. Our model simulations suggest that free troposphere (FT) BC concentration is higher in the monsoon season compared to the winter season at the same elevation. In addition, our results show the presence of a persistent BC plume from 500 hPa and above over central India with implications for the summer monsoon. The presence of an anti-cyclonic region during the monsoon season at the higher troposphere (500-300 hPa) contributes to this stable BC layer. Although individual high convection days (high helicity/CAPE) can easily transport a significant amount of BC from the surface to the FT, simulations do not show significant BC transported to the upper troposphere-lower stratosphere during these days. While satellite derived products provide some insights into model predictions, there is a need for in-situ measurements of BC concentration aloft over South Asia to further constrain model performance and improve understanding of BC transport to FT.