Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1073/pnas.1922500117 |
Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones | |
Hiroyuki Murakami; Thomas L. Delworth; William F. Cooke; Ming Zhao; Baoqiang Xiang; Pang-Chi Hsu | |
2020-05-19 | |
发表期刊 | Proceedings of the National Academy of Science
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出版年 | 2020 |
英文摘要 | Owing to the limited length of observed tropical cyclone data and the effects of multidecadal internal variability, it has been a challenge to detect trends in tropical cyclone activity on a global scale. However, there is a distinct spatial pattern of the trends in tropical cyclone frequency of occurrence on a global scale since 1980, with substantial decreases in the southern Indian Ocean and western North Pacific and increases in the North Atlantic and central Pacific. Here, using a suite of high-resolution dynamical model experiments, we show that the observed spatial pattern of trends is very unlikely to be explained entirely by underlying multidecadal internal variability; rather, external forcing such as greenhouse gases, aerosols, and volcanic eruptions likely played an important role. This study demonstrates that a climatic change in terms of the global spatial distribution of tropical cyclones has already emerged in observations and may in part be attributable to the increase in greenhouse gas emissions. |
领域 | 地球科学 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/270460 |
专题 | 地球科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hiroyuki Murakami,Thomas L. Delworth,William F. Cooke,et al. Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science,2020. |
APA | Hiroyuki Murakami,Thomas L. Delworth,William F. Cooke,Ming Zhao,Baoqiang Xiang,&Pang-Chi Hsu.(2020).Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones.Proceedings of the National Academy of Science. |
MLA | Hiroyuki Murakami,et al."Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones".Proceedings of the National Academy of Science (2020). |
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