Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2020.106703 |
Circular futures: What Will They Look Like? | |
Thomas Bauwens, Marko Hekkert, Julian Kirchherr | |
2020-05-15 | |
发表期刊 | Ecological Economics
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出版年 | 2020 |
英文摘要 | The circular economy is argued to hold great promise for achieving sustainability. Yet, there is a dearth of research about what a circular future may look like. To address this gap, this paper proposes different plausible scenarios for a circular future, using a 2 × 2 scenario matrix method developed through a thought experiment and a focus group. Key drivers of change in this matrix are the nature of technologies deployed – high-tech or low-tech innovations – and the configuration of the governance regime – centralized or decentralized. From this, our paper builds four scenario narratives for the future of a circular economy: “planned circularity”, “bottom-up sufficiency”, “circular modernism”, and “peer-to-peer circularity”. It delineates the core characteristics and the upsides and downsides of each scenario. It shows that a circular economy can be organized in very contrasting ways. By generating insights about alternative circular futures, these scenarios may provide a clearer directionality to policy-makers and businesses, helping them both anticipate and understand the consequences of a paradigm shift towards a circular economy and shape policies and strategies, especially in the context of so-called mission-oriented innovation policies. They may also provide a sound basis for quantitatively modelling the impacts of a circular economy. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/267547 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Thomas Bauwens, Marko Hekkert, Julian Kirchherr. Circular futures: What Will They Look Like?[J]. Ecological Economics,2020. |
APA | Thomas Bauwens, Marko Hekkert, Julian Kirchherr.(2020).Circular futures: What Will They Look Like?.Ecological Economics. |
MLA | Thomas Bauwens, Marko Hekkert, Julian Kirchherr."Circular futures: What Will They Look Like?".Ecological Economics (2020). |
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