Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aaae76 |
Climate-wise choices in a world of oil abundance | |
Brandt, Adam R.1; Masnadi, Mohammad S.1; Englander, Jacob G.1; Koomey, Jonathan2; Gordon, Deborah3 | |
2018-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 13期号:4 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Constrained oil supply has given way to abundance at a time when strong action on climate change is wavering. Recent innovation has pushed US oil production to all-time heights and driven oil prices lower. At the same time, attention to climate policy is wavering due to geopolitical upheaval. Nevertheless, climate-wise choices in the oil sector remain a priority, given oil's large role in modern economies. Here we use a set of open-source models along with a detailed dataset comprising 75 global crude oils (similar to 25% of global production) to estimate the effects of carbon intensity and oil demand on decadal scale oil-sector emissions. We find that oil resources are abundant relative to all projections of 21st century demand, due to large light-tight oil (LTO) and heavy oil/bitumen (HOB) resources. We then investigate the 'barrel forward' emissions from producing, refining, and consuming all products from a barrel of crude. These oil resources have diverse life-cycle-greenhouse gas (LC-GHG) emissions impacts, and median per-barrel emissions for unconventional resources vary significantly. Median HOB life cycle emissions are 1.5 times those of median LTO emissions, exceeding them by 200 kgCO(2)eq./bbl. We show that reducing oil LC-GHGs is a mitigation opportunity worth 10-50 gigatonnes CO2 eq. cumulatively by 2050. We discuss means to reduce oil sector LC-GHGs. Results point to the need for policymakers to address both oil supply and oil demand when considering options to reduce LC-GHGs. |
英文关键词 | oil greenhouse gas unconventional demand climate |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000429367300002 |
WOS关键词 | GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; 2 DEGREES-C ; ENERGY ; FUELS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/26121 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Stanford Univ, Dept Energy Resources Engn, Stanford, CA 94305 USA; 2.Stanford Univ, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Stanford, CA 94305 USA; 3.Carnegie Endowment Int Peace, Washington, DC 20037 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Brandt, Adam R.,Masnadi, Mohammad S.,Englander, Jacob G.,et al. Climate-wise choices in a world of oil abundance[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(4). |
APA | Brandt, Adam R.,Masnadi, Mohammad S.,Englander, Jacob G.,Koomey, Jonathan,&Gordon, Deborah.(2018).Climate-wise choices in a world of oil abundance.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(4). |
MLA | Brandt, Adam R.,et al."Climate-wise choices in a world of oil abundance".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.4(2018). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论