Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/aaaa03 |
Applying a systems approach to assess carbon emission reductions from climate change mitigation in Mexico's forest sector | |
Olguin, Marcela1; Wayson, Craig2; Fellows, Max3; Birdsey, Richard4,5; Smyth, Carolyn E.3; Magnan, Michael3; Dugan, Alexa J.2; Mascorro, Vanessa S.1; Alanis, Armando7; Serrano, Enrique7; Kurz, Andwerner A.3 | |
2018-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 1748-9326 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 13期号:3 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Canada; USA; Mexico |
英文摘要 | The Paris Agreement of the United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change calls for a balance of anthropogenic greenhouse emissions and removals in the latter part of this century. Mexico indicated in its Intended Nationally Determined Contribution and its Climate Change Mid-Century Strategy that the land sector will contribute to meeting GHG emission reduction goals. Since 2012, the Mexican government through its National Forestry Commission, with international financial and technical support, has been developing carbon dynamics models to explore climate change mitigation options in the forest sector. Following a systems approach, here we assess the biophysical mitigation potential of forest ecosystems, harvested wood products and their substitution benefits (i.e. the change in emissions resulting from substitution of wood for more emissions-intensive products and fossil fuels), for policy alternatives considered by the Mexican government, such as a net zero deforestation rate and sustainable forest management. We used available analytical frameworks (Carbon Budget Model of the Canadian Forest Sector and a harvested wood products model), parameterized with local input data in two contrasting Mexican states. Using information from the National Forest Monitoring System (e.g. forest inventories, remote sensing, disturbance data), we demonstrate that activities aimed at reaching a net-zero deforestation rate can yield significant CO(2)e mitigation benefits by 2030 and 2050 relative to a baseline scenario ('business as usual'), but if combined with increasing forest harvest to produce long-lived products and substitute more energy-intensive materials, emissions reductions could also provide other co-benefits (e.g. jobs, illegal logging reduction). We concluded that the relative impact of mitigation activities is locally dependent, suggesting that mitigation strategies should be designed and implemented at sub-national scales. We were also encouraged about the ability of the modeling framework to effectively use Mexico's data, and showed the need to include multiple sectors and types of collaborators (scientific and policy-maker communities) to design more comprehensive portfolios for climate change mitigation. |
英文关键词 | forest carbon NDC REDD forest management Durango Quintana Roo CBM-CFS3 |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000425835600001 |
WOS关键词 | YUCATAN PENINSULA ; MANAGEMENT ; SCENARIOS ; DYNAMICS ; MODEL ; REDD ; DISTURBANCE ; GOVERNANCE ; CBM-CFS3 ; BIOMASS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/26090 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Commiss Environm Cooperat, 393 St Jacques St West,Suite 200, Montreal, PQ H2Y 1N9, Canada; 2.US Forest Serv, USDA, Int Programs, 1 Thomas Circle NW,Suite 400, Washington, DC 20005 USA; 3.Canadian Forest Serv, Nat Resources Canada, 506 Burnside RoadWest, Victoria, BC V8Z 1M5, Canada; 4.US Forest Serv, USDA, 148 Woods Hole Rd, Falmouth, MA USA; 5.Woods Hole Res Ctr, 148 Woods Hole Rd, Falmouth, MA USA; 6.US Forest Serv, USDA, 11 Campus Blvd,Ste 200, Newtown Sq, PA 19073 USA; 7.Comis Nacl Forestal, Perifer Poniente 5360, San Juan De Ocotan 45019, Jalisco, Mexico |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Olguin, Marcela,Wayson, Craig,Fellows, Max,et al. Applying a systems approach to assess carbon emission reductions from climate change mitigation in Mexico's forest sector[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,13(3). |
APA | Olguin, Marcela.,Wayson, Craig.,Fellows, Max.,Birdsey, Richard.,Smyth, Carolyn E..,...&Kurz, Andwerner A..(2018).Applying a systems approach to assess carbon emission reductions from climate change mitigation in Mexico's forest sector.ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS,13(3). |
MLA | Olguin, Marcela,et al."Applying a systems approach to assess carbon emission reductions from climate change mitigation in Mexico's forest sector".ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS 13.3(2018). |
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