GSTDTAP  > 资源环境科学
DOI10.1038/s41467-019-13961-1
Paris Climate Agreement passes the cost-benefit test
Glanemann, Nicole1,2; Willner, Sven N.1; Levermann, Anders1,3,4
2020-01-27
发表期刊NATURE COMMUNICATIONS
ISSN2041-1723
出版年2020
卷号11期号:1
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany; USA
英文摘要

The Paris Climate Agreement aims to keep temperature rise well below 2 degrees C. This implies mitigation costs as well as avoided climate damages. Here we show that independent of the normative assumptions of inequality aversion and time preferences, the agreement constitutes the economically optimal policy pathway for the century. To this end we consistently incorporate a damage-cost curve reproducing the observed relation between temperature and economic growth into the integrated assessment model DICE. We thus provide an intertemporally optimizing cost-benefit analysis of this century's climate problem. We account for uncertainties regarding the damage curve, climate sensitivity, socioeconomic future, and mitigation costs. The resulting optimal temperature is robust as can be understood from the generic temperature-dependence of the mitigation costs and the level of damages inferred from the observed temperature-growth relationship. Our results show that the politically motivated Paris Climate Agreement also represents the economically favourable pathway, if carried out properly.


领域地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000512538800001
WOS关键词SOCIAL COST ; GROWTH ; CARBON ; TEMPERATURE ; DAMAGE ; WEATHER ; IMPACT ; OUTPUT ; MODEL
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
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被引频次:76[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/249894
专题资源环境科学
作者单位1.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany;
2.WHU Otto Beishe Sch Management, D-56179 Vallendar, Germany;
3.Potsdam Univ, Inst Phys, D-14476 Potsdam, Germany;
4.Columbia Univ, New York, NY 10027 USA
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GB/T 7714
Glanemann, Nicole,Willner, Sven N.,Levermann, Anders. Paris Climate Agreement passes the cost-benefit test[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2020,11(1).
APA Glanemann, Nicole,Willner, Sven N.,&Levermann, Anders.(2020).Paris Climate Agreement passes the cost-benefit test.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,11(1).
MLA Glanemann, Nicole,et al."Paris Climate Agreement passes the cost-benefit test".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 11.1(2020).
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