Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41467-019-13961-1 |
Paris Climate Agreement passes the cost-benefit test | |
Glanemann, Nicole1,2; Willner, Sven N.1; Levermann, Anders1,3,4 | |
2020-01-27 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE COMMUNICATIONS |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 11期号:1 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Germany; USA |
英文摘要 | The Paris Climate Agreement aims to keep temperature rise well below 2 degrees C. This implies mitigation costs as well as avoided climate damages. Here we show that independent of the normative assumptions of inequality aversion and time preferences, the agreement constitutes the economically optimal policy pathway for the century. To this end we consistently incorporate a damage-cost curve reproducing the observed relation between temperature and economic growth into the integrated assessment model DICE. We thus provide an intertemporally optimizing cost-benefit analysis of this century's climate problem. We account for uncertainties regarding the damage curve, climate sensitivity, socioeconomic future, and mitigation costs. The resulting optimal temperature is robust as can be understood from the generic temperature-dependence of the mitigation costs and the level of damages inferred from the observed temperature-growth relationship. Our results show that the politically motivated Paris Climate Agreement also represents the economically favourable pathway, if carried out properly. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000512538800001 |
WOS关键词 | SOCIAL COST ; GROWTH ; CARBON ; TEMPERATURE ; DAMAGE ; WEATHER ; IMPACT ; OUTPUT ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/249894 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany; 2.WHU Otto Beishe Sch Management, D-56179 Vallendar, Germany; 3.Potsdam Univ, Inst Phys, D-14476 Potsdam, Germany; 4.Columbia Univ, New York, NY 10027 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Glanemann, Nicole,Willner, Sven N.,Levermann, Anders. Paris Climate Agreement passes the cost-benefit test[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2020,11(1). |
APA | Glanemann, Nicole,Willner, Sven N.,&Levermann, Anders.(2020).Paris Climate Agreement passes the cost-benefit test.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,11(1). |
MLA | Glanemann, Nicole,et al."Paris Climate Agreement passes the cost-benefit test".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 11.1(2020). |
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