Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41467-020-15076-4 |
Climate adaptation by crop migration | |
Sloat, Lindsey L.1,2; Davis, Steven J.3; Gerber, James S.4; Moore, Frances C.5; Ray, Deepak K.4; West, Paul C.4; Mueller, Nathaniel D.1,2 | |
2020-03-06 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE COMMUNICATIONS |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 11期号:1 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Many studies have estimated the adverse effects of climate change on crop yields, however, this literature almost universally assumes a constant geographic distribution of crops in the future. Movement of growing areas to limit exposure to adverse climate conditions has been discussed as a theoretical adaptive response but has not previously been quantified or demonstrated at a global scale. Here, we assess how changes in rainfed crop area have already mediated growing season temperature trends for rainfed maize, wheat, rice, and soybean using spatially-explicit climate and crop area data from 1973 to 2012. Our results suggest that the most damaging impacts of warming on rainfed maize, wheat, and rice have been substantially moderated by the migration of these crops over time and the expansion of irrigation. However, continued migration may incur substantial environmental costs and will depend on socio-economic and political factors in addition to land suitability and climate. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000549162600020 |
WOS关键词 | TEMPERATURES ; AGRICULTURE ; EXTREMES ; IMPACTS ; MARINE ; POINTS ; GROWTH ; YIELDS ; TRADE |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/249734 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Colorado State Univ, Dept Ecosyst Sci & Sustainabil, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA; 2.Colorado State Univ, Dept Soil & Crop Sci, Ft Collins, CO 80523 USA; 3.Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA; 4.Univ Minnesota, Inst Environm, St Paul, MN 55108 USA; 5.Univ Calif Davis, Dept Environm Sci & Policy, Davis, CA 95616 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sloat, Lindsey L.,Davis, Steven J.,Gerber, James S.,et al. Climate adaptation by crop migration[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2020,11(1). |
APA | Sloat, Lindsey L..,Davis, Steven J..,Gerber, James S..,Moore, Frances C..,Ray, Deepak K..,...&Mueller, Nathaniel D..(2020).Climate adaptation by crop migration.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,11(1). |
MLA | Sloat, Lindsey L.,et al."Climate adaptation by crop migration".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 11.1(2020). |
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