Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41467-020-15108-z |
Global lake thermal regions shift under climate change | |
Maberly, Stephen C.1; 39;Donnell, Ruth A.2 | |
2020-03-06 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE COMMUNICATIONS |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 11期号:1 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England; Scotland; Ireland |
英文摘要 | Water temperature is critical for the ecology of lakes. However, the ability to predict its spatial and seasonal variation is constrained by the lack of a thermal classification system. Here we define lake thermal regions using objective analysis of seasonal surface temperature dynamics from satellite observations. Nine lake thermal regions are identified that mapped robustly and largely contiguously globally, even for small lakes. The regions differed from other global patterns, and so provide unique information. Using a lake model forced by 21st century climate projections, we found that 12%, 27% and 66% of lakes will change to a lower latitude thermal region by 2080-2099 for low, medium and high greenhouse gas concentration trajectories (Representative Concentration Pathways 2.6, 6.0 and 8.5) respectively. Under the worst-case scenario, a 79% reduction in the number of lakes in the northernmost thermal region is projected. This thermal region framework can facilitate the global scaling of lake-research. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000549162600009 |
WOS关键词 | FRESH-WATER ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE ; WARMING ALTERS ; TEMPERATURE ; MAP ; ECOREGIONS ; RESPONSES ; FUTURE ; WORLDS |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/249729 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Lancaster Environm Ctr, UK Ctr Ecol & Hydrol, Lancaster LA1 4AP, England; 2.Univ Glasgow, Sch Math & Stat, Glasgow G12 8QQ, Lanark, Scotland; 3.Dundalk Inst Technol, Ctr Freshwater & Environm Studies, Dundalk A91 K584, Ireland; 4.Univ Dundee, Sch Social Sci, Dundee DD1 4HN, Scotland; 5.British Geol Survey, Nottingham NG12 5GG, England; 6.Univ Stirling, Biol & Environm Sci, Stirling FK9 4LA, Scotland; 7.Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading RG6 6AL, Berks, England; 8.Univ Reading, Natl Ctr Earth Observat, Reading RG6 6AL, Berks, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Maberly, Stephen C.,39;Donnell, Ruth A.. Global lake thermal regions shift under climate change[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2020,11(1). |
APA | Maberly, Stephen C.,&39;Donnell, Ruth A..(2020).Global lake thermal regions shift under climate change.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,11(1). |
MLA | Maberly, Stephen C.,et al."Global lake thermal regions shift under climate change".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 11.1(2020). |
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