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DOI | 10.1038/s41558-019-0682-7 |
Persistent Quaternary climate refugia are hospices for biodiversity in the Anthropocene | |
Brown, Stuart C.1,2; Wigley, Tom M. L.1,2,3; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.3; Rahbek, Carsten4; Fordham, Damien A.1,2,4 | |
2020-02-03 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 10期号:3页码:244-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia; USA; Denmark |
英文摘要 | Climate stability leads to high levels of speciation and reduced extinction rates, shaping species richness patterns(1-3). Hotspots of species diversity often overlap with regions that experienced stable temperatures and, perhaps, variable rates of precipitation during the late Quaternary(4,5). These hotspots potentially harbour many species with low vagility and small geographical ranges(6), making them more vulnerable to future ecoclimatic change(4,7,8). By comparing global and regional patterns of climate stability during short periods of unusually large and widespread climate changes since the Last Glacial Maximum with twenty-first-century patterns, we show that human-driven climate change will disproportionally affect biodiversity in late Quaternary climate refugia, ultimately affecting the species, communities and ecosystems that are most vulnerable to climate change. Moreover, future changes in absolute temperature will probably erode the mechanisms that are theorized to sustain biodiversity hotspots across time. These impending shifts from stable to unstable temperatures-projected for the majority of the world's biodiversity regions-threaten to reduce the size and extent of important climatic safe havens for diversity. Where climate refugia are forecast to persist until the end of this century, temperatures in these refuges are likely to exceed the acclimation capacity of many species, making them short-term hospices for biodiversity at best(7-9). The stability of climatic conditions since the Last Glacial Maximum has contributed to current global patterns of species richness. Changes in patterns of climate stability this century reveal areas where climate change could reduce biodiversity, with largest losses in past climatic safe havens. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000510822000002 |
WOS关键词 | DIVERSITY ; CONSEQUENCES ; PATTERNS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/249512 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Adelaide, Environm Inst, Adelaide, SA, Australia; 2.Univ Adelaide, Sch Biol Sci, Adelaide, SA, Australia; 3.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Climate & Global Dynam Lab, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA; 4.Univ Copenhagen, GLOBE Inst, Ctr Macroecol Evolut & Climate, Copenhagen, Denmark |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Brown, Stuart C.,Wigley, Tom M. L.,Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.,et al. Persistent Quaternary climate refugia are hospices for biodiversity in the Anthropocene[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2020,10(3):244-+. |
APA | Brown, Stuart C.,Wigley, Tom M. L.,Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.,Rahbek, Carsten,&Fordham, Damien A..(2020).Persistent Quaternary climate refugia are hospices for biodiversity in the Anthropocene.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,10(3),244-+. |
MLA | Brown, Stuart C.,et al."Persistent Quaternary climate refugia are hospices for biodiversity in the Anthropocene".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 10.3(2020):244-+. |
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