Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41467-020-15665-3 |
Economic motivation for raising coastal flood defenses in Europe | |
Vousdoukas, Michalis, I1; Mentaschi, Lorenzo1; Hinkel, Jochen2,3,4; Ward, Philip J.5; Mongelli, Ignazio1; Ciscar, Juan-Carlos1; Feyen, Luc1 | |
2020-05-05 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE COMMUNICATIONS |
ISSN | 2041-1723 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 11期号:1 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Italy; Germany; Netherlands |
英文摘要 | Extreme sea levels (ESLs) in Europe could rise by as much as one metre or more by the end of this century due to climate change. This poses significant challenges to safeguard coastal communities. Here we present a comprehensive analysis of economically efficient protection scenarios along Europe's coastlines during the present century. We employ a probabilistic framework that integrates dynamic simulations of all ESL components and flood inundation, impact modelling and a cost-benefit analysis of raising dykes. We find that at least 83% of flood damages in Europe could be avoided by elevating dykes in an economically efficient way along 23.7%-32.1% of Europe's coastline, specifically where high value conurbations exist. The European mean benefit to cost ratio of the investments varies from 8.3 to 14.9 while at country level this ranges between 1.6 and 34.3, with higher efficiencies for a scenario with high-end greenhouse gas emissions and strong socio-economic growth. There lacks a European cost-benefit analysis of possible protective measures against rising seas. Here the authors used a probabilistic data and modeling framework to estimate costs and benefits of coastal protection measures and found that at least 83% of flood damages could be avoided by dyke improvements along a third of the European coastline. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000532360800001 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE RESEARCH ; STORM-SURGE CLIMATE ; SEA-LEVEL RISE ; RIVER FLOODS ; COSTS ; ADAPTATION ; PROTECTION ; FRAMEWORK ; BENEFITS ; IMPACTS |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/249454 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr JRC, Ispra, Italy; 2.Global Climate Forum Adaptat & Social Learning, Neue Promenade 6, D-10178 Berlin, Germany; 3.Humboldt Univ, Albrecht Daniel Thaer Inst, Div Resource Econ, Berlin, Germany; 4.Humboldt Univ, Berlin Workshop Inst Anal Social Ecol Syst WINS, Berlin, Germany; 5.Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Inst Environm Studies IVM, NL-1081 HV Amsterdam, Netherlands |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Vousdoukas, Michalis, I,Mentaschi, Lorenzo,Hinkel, Jochen,et al. Economic motivation for raising coastal flood defenses in Europe[J]. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,2020,11(1). |
APA | Vousdoukas, Michalis, I.,Mentaschi, Lorenzo.,Hinkel, Jochen.,Ward, Philip J..,Mongelli, Ignazio.,...&Feyen, Luc.(2020).Economic motivation for raising coastal flood defenses in Europe.NATURE COMMUNICATIONS,11(1). |
MLA | Vousdoukas, Michalis, I,et al."Economic motivation for raising coastal flood defenses in Europe".NATURE COMMUNICATIONS 11.1(2020). |
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