Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-020-0740-1 |
The co-evolution of technological promises, modelling, policies and climate change targets | |
McLaren, Duncan; Markusson, Nils | |
2020-04-20 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 10期号:5页码:392-397 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England |
英文摘要 | The nature and framing of climate targets in international politics has changed substantially since their early expressions in the 1980s. Here, we describe their evolution in five phases-from 'climate stabilization' to specific 'temperature outcomes'-co-evolving with wider climate politics and policy, modelling methods and scenarios, and technological promises (from nuclear power to carbon removal). We argue that this co-evolution has enabled policy prevarication, leaving mitigation poorly delivered, yet the technological promises often remain buried in the models used to inform policy. We conclude with a call to recognise and break this pattern to unleash more effective and just climate policy. This Perspective maps the history of climate targets and shows how the international goal of avoiding dangerous climate change has been reinterpreted in the light of new modelling methods and technological promises, ultimately enabling policy prevarication and limiting mitigation. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000527688100009 |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/249360 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Environm Ctr, Lancaster, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | McLaren, Duncan,Markusson, Nils. The co-evolution of technological promises, modelling, policies and climate change targets[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2020,10(5):392-397. |
APA | McLaren, Duncan,&Markusson, Nils.(2020).The co-evolution of technological promises, modelling, policies and climate change targets.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,10(5),392-397. |
MLA | McLaren, Duncan,et al."The co-evolution of technological promises, modelling, policies and climate change targets".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 10.5(2020):392-397. |
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