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DOI | 10.1029/2019GL086816 |
Climate Change Projections for the Australian Monsoon From CMIP6 Models | |
Narsey, S. Y.1; Brown, J. R.2,3; Colman, R. A.1; Delage, F.1; Power, S. B.1,3,4; Moise, A. F.5; Zhang, H.1 | |
2020-03-28 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 47期号:13 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia; Singapore |
英文摘要 | Climate change projections for the Australian monsoon have been highly uncertain in previous generations of coupled climate models. The new Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) ensemble provides an opportunity to address the uncertainty in future projections for northern Australia. We find that the range in Australian monsoon projections from the available CMIP6 ensemble is substantially reduced compared to CMIP5, although models continue to disagree on the magnitude and direction of change. While previous CMIP5 studies identified warming in the western equatorial Pacific as important for Australian monsoon projections, here we show that the western Pacific is not strongly connected to northern Australian precipitation changes in the CMIP6 models. By comparing groups of models based on their future projections, we note that the model-to-model differences in Australian monsoon projections are congruent with the zonally averaged precipitation response in the Southern Hemisphere tropics within each model. |
英文关键词 | Australian monsoon climate change CMIP6 precipitation rainfall CMIP5 |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000551465400023 |
WOS关键词 | RAINFALL PROJECTIONS ; GLOBAL PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/249062 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Australian Bur Meteorol, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 2.Univ Melbourne, Sch Earth Sci, Parkville, Vic, Australia; 3.Univ Melbourne, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Melbourne, Vic, Australia; 4.Monash Univ, Sch Earth Atmosphere & Environm, Clayton, Vic, Australia; 5.Ctr Climate Res, Singapore, Singapore |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Narsey, S. Y.,Brown, J. R.,Colman, R. A.,et al. Climate Change Projections for the Australian Monsoon From CMIP6 Models[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2020,47(13). |
APA | Narsey, S. Y..,Brown, J. R..,Colman, R. A..,Delage, F..,Power, S. B..,...&Zhang, H..(2020).Climate Change Projections for the Australian Monsoon From CMIP6 Models.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,47(13). |
MLA | Narsey, S. Y.,et al."Climate Change Projections for the Australian Monsoon From CMIP6 Models".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 47.13(2020). |
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