Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2017.07.021 |
Exploring synergies between transit investment and dense redevelopment: A scenario analysis in a rapidly urbanizing landscape | |
Cox, L.1; Bassi, A.2; Kolling, J.1; Procter, A.1; Flanders, N.1; Tanners, N.3; Araujo, R.4 | |
2017-11-01 | |
发表期刊 | LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING |
ISSN | 0169-2046 |
EISSN | 1872-6062 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 167 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Italy |
英文摘要 | Like many urban areas around the world, Durham and Orange counties in North Carolina, USA are experiencing population growth and sprawl that is putting stress on the transportation system. Light rail and denser transit oriented development are being considered as possible solutions. However, local agencies and stakeholders are concerned the light rail may worsen housing affordability and have questioned whether investment in both light rail and dense redevelopment are necessary to achieve community goals. We developed an integrated system dynamics model to quantitatively explore the outcomes of these land use and transportation options across multiple societal dimensions. The model incorporates feedbacks among the land, transportation, economic, equity, and energy sectors. This paper uses the results of four model scenarios, run between 2000 and 2040, to address two main questions: (1) what role does redevelopment play in capturing the socioeconomic benefits of transit infrastructure investment? And (2) how do redevelopment and light-rail transit interact to affect housing and transportation affordability? We find that transit investment and dense redevelopment combine synergistically to better achieve the goals of the light-rail line, including economic development, mobility, and compact growth. However, housing affordability does worsen in the combined scenario, as transportation-cost savings are not sufficient to offset the rise in housing costs. We emphasize that model users may input their own assumptions to explore the dynamics of alternative scenarios. We demonstrate how spatially-aggregated systems models can complement traditional land use and transportation models in the regional planning process. |
英文关键词 | Land use model Urban sustainability Light rail Transit-oriented development System dynamics Redevelopment |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000412959400041 |
WOS关键词 | LAND-USE ; SYSTEM DYNAMICS ; CELLULAR-AUTOMATA ; MODEL ; METAANALYSIS ; TRAVEL ; LIGHT |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Environmental Studies ; Geography ; Geography, Physical ; Regional & Urban Planning ; Urban Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography ; Physical Geography ; Public Administration ; Urban Studies |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/24905 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.US EPA, Sustainable & Hlth Commun Res Program, Washington, DC 20460 USA; 2.KnowlEDGE SRL, Sesto Fiorentino, Italy; 3.Ind Econ Inc, Cambridge, MA USA; 4.US EPA, Natl Exposure Res Lab, Washington, DC 20460 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Cox, L.,Bassi, A.,Kolling, J.,et al. Exploring synergies between transit investment and dense redevelopment: A scenario analysis in a rapidly urbanizing landscape[J]. LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING,2017,167. |
APA | Cox, L..,Bassi, A..,Kolling, J..,Procter, A..,Flanders, N..,...&Araujo, R..(2017).Exploring synergies between transit investment and dense redevelopment: A scenario analysis in a rapidly urbanizing landscape.LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING,167. |
MLA | Cox, L.,et al."Exploring synergies between transit investment and dense redevelopment: A scenario analysis in a rapidly urbanizing landscape".LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING 167(2017). |
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