资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

The N₂O mixing ratio in the CTM experiments has a spread of approximately ~ 20 % in the middle stratosphere, reflecting the large diversity in the mean Age of Air obtained with the same experiments. In all datasets the TEM budget is well-closed and the agreement between the vertical advection terms is qualitatively very good in the Northern Hemisphere, and good in the Southern Hemisphere except above the Antarctic region. The datasets do not agree as well with respect to the horizontal mixing term, especially in the Northern Hemisphere where horizontal mixing has a smaller contribution in WACCM than in the reanalyses. WACCM is investigated through three model realizations and a sensitivity test where gravity waves are forced differently in the Southern Hemisphere. The internal variability of the horizontal mixing in WACCM is large in the polar regions, and comparable to the differences between the dynamical reanalyses. The sensitivity test has a relatively small impact on the horizontal mixing term, but significantly changes the vertical advection term and produces a less realistic N₂O annual cycle above the Antarctic. In this region, all reanalyses show a large wintertime N₂O decrease, which is mainly due to horizontal mixing. This is not seen with WACCM, where the horizontal mixing term barely contributes to the TEM budget. While we must use caution in the interpretation of the differences in this region, where the reanalyses show large residuals of the TEM budget, they could be due to the fact that the polar jet is stronger and not tilted equatorward in WACCM compared with the reanalyses.

We also compare the inter-annual variability in the horizontal mixing and the vertical advection terms. As expected, the horizontal mixing term presents a large variability during austral fall and boreal winter in the polar regions. In the Tropics, the inter-annual variability of the vertical advection term is much smaller in WACCM and JRA-55 than in the other experiments. The large residual in the reanalyses and the disagreement between WACCM and the reanalyses in the Antarctic region highlight the need for further investigations on the modeling of transport in this region of the stratosphere.