Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2019GL086749 |
Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6 | |
Dirk Notz; Jakob Dö; rr; David A. Bailey; Ed Blockley; Mitchell Bushuk; Jens Boldingh Debernard; Evelien Dekker; Patricia DeRepentigny; David Docquier; Neven S. Fuč; kar; John C. Fyfe; Alexandra Jahn; Marika Holland; Elizabeth Hunke; Doroteaciro Iovino; Narges Khosravi; Franҫ; ois Massonnet; Gurvan Madec; Siobhan O'Farrell; Alek Petty; Arun Rana; Lettie Roach; Erica Rosenblum; Clement Rousset; Tido Semmler; Julienne Stroeve; Bruno Tremblay; Takahiro Toyoda; Hiroyuki Tsujino; Martin Vancoppenolle | |
2020-04-17 | |
发表期刊 | Geophysical Research Letters
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出版年 | 2020 |
英文摘要 | We examine CMIP6 simulations of Arctic sea‐ice area and volume. We find that CMIP6 models produce a wide spread of mean Arctic sea‐ice area, capturing the observational estimate within the multi‐model ensemble spread. The CMIP6 multi‐model ensemble mean provides a more realistic estimate of the sensitivity of September Arctic sea‐ice area to a given amount of anthropogenic CO2 emissions and to a given amount of global warming, compared with earlier CMIP experiments. Still, most CMIP6 models fail to simulate at the same time a plausible evolution of sea‐ice area and of global mean surface temperature. In the vast majority of the available CMIP6 simulations, the Arctic Ocean becomes practically sea‐ice free (sea‐ice area < 1 million km2) in September for the first time before the year 2050 in each of the four emission scenarios SSP1‐1.9, SSP1‐2.6, SSP2‐4.5 and SSP5‐8.5 examined here. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
URL | 查看原文 |
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文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/249014 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Dirk Notz,Jakob Dö,rr,et al. Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2020. |
APA | Dirk Notz.,Jakob Dö.,rr.,David A. Bailey.,Ed Blockley.,...&Martin Vancoppenolle.(2020).Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6.Geophysical Research Letters. |
MLA | Dirk Notz,et al."Arctic Sea Ice in CMIP6".Geophysical Research Letters (2020). |
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