Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2020.106665 |
Sustainability of agricultural basin development under uncertain future climate and economic conditions: A socio-hydrological analysis | |
Roobavannan, M.1; Kandasamy, J.1; Pande, S.2; Vigneswaran, S.1; Sivapalan, M.3,4 | |
2020-05-06 | |
发表期刊 | ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS |
ISSN | 0921-8009 |
EISSN | 1873-6106 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 174 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia; Netherlands; USA |
英文摘要 | A socio-hydrological model is used to forecast future conditions in a river basin arising from changes in climate and the economy in order to learn about macroeconomic conditions that would yield pathways for sustainable development and how they may be affected by changes in climate and the economy. The study uses a system dynamics model with endogenous social values and preferences and exogenous climate and economic drivers. Basin scale sustainability is defined as a function of economic growth, provision of environmental services and equality within the basin. The analysis reveals that a diversified basin economy is important to achieve sustainable development. Under current climate conditions, a higher level of diversification in the basin's economy increases sustainability. Higher current capital growth rates, e.g., > 2% of the current rate, would also lead to more sustainable development of a kind that is less affected by the availability of water and robust to vagaries of climate change. The results suggest that policy-makers and resource managers should focus on measures to diversify the economy when it is thriving, but also consider the capacity of society to adapt to unpredictable shocks to the system. |
英文关键词 | Socio-hydrology Sustainable development Values and preferences Future projections Safe operating space |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000535905400009 |
WOS关键词 | MURRUMBIDGEE RIVER-BASIN ; ENVIRONMENTAL-HEALTH ; WATER ; EVOLUTION |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Economics ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/248827 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Technol Sydney, Sch Civil & Environm Engn, Sydney, NSW, Australia; 2.Delft Univ Technol, Dept Water Management, Delft, Netherlands; 3.Univ Illinois, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Urbana, IL 61801 USA; 4.Univ Illinois, Dept Geog & Geog Informat Sci, Urbana, IL 61801 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Roobavannan, M.,Kandasamy, J.,Pande, S.,et al. Sustainability of agricultural basin development under uncertain future climate and economic conditions: A socio-hydrological analysis[J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,2020,174. |
APA | Roobavannan, M.,Kandasamy, J.,Pande, S.,Vigneswaran, S.,&Sivapalan, M..(2020).Sustainability of agricultural basin development under uncertain future climate and economic conditions: A socio-hydrological analysis.ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,174. |
MLA | Roobavannan, M.,et al."Sustainability of agricultural basin development under uncertain future climate and economic conditions: A socio-hydrological analysis".ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS 174(2020). |
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