资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

The dominance relationship between angiosperms and gymnosperms in natural forests has long been widely discussed, with some researchers believing that angiosperms tend to displace conifers due to competitive processes between the two species groups. The Lozenge or "temporal stand replacement" model states that a cohort of conifers is first established after a disturbance, while angiosperms establish themselves under the conifer canopy in a secondary stage that thereafter hinders conifer regeneration. This causes a drastic decline in conifer recruitment, restricting them to filling in gaps opportunistically. The objective of this study was to evaluate the competition for growth and survival between a conifer (Araucaria angustifolia) and two groups of angiosperms (shade-tolerant and light-demanding) in a species-rich forest using a distance-dependent competition index. We also investigated dominance among the three species groups by projecting the aboveground biomass of the groups for 50 years using an individual-tree distance-dependent growth model. We used data collected from 25 1-ha permanent plots located in the National Forest (FLONA) of Irati in southern Brazil, where all trees with more than a 10-cm diameter at breast height were identified for species and tagged, mapped, and measured. These plots have been measured every 3 years since their establishment in 2002. For diameter growth, the results indicated the araucarias were subject to severe intraspecific competition, while the light-demanding species suffered only moderate competition from the araucarias. The shade-tolerant species experienced little competition from any species group. No empirical evidence was found to support the hypothesis that competition estimates improve mortality predictions in a simple model based on stem diameter. Regarding the long-term dominance of the Araucaria, light-demanding, and shade-tolerant groups, the growth model indicated that araucarias will tend to dominate over the two angiosperm groups in aboveground biomass within 50 years, suggesting that this forest type follows the Lozenge model.