资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

Using a convective-cloud differential (CCD) method, developed in-house and applied to retrievals of total ozone and cloud data from three European satellite instruments (viz. GOME/ERS-2, 1995-2003; SCIAMACHY/Envisat, 2002-2012 and GOME-2/MetOp-A, 2007-2015), monthly mean tropical tropospheric columns of ozone (TTCO) have been retrieved, which are in good agreement with ozonesondes (biases less than 6 DU). As small differences in TTCO between the individual instruments were evident, it was necessary to develop a scheme to harmonise the three datasets into one consistent time series starting from 1996 until 2015. Correction offsets (biases) between the instruments using SCIAMACHY as intermediate reference have been calculated and six different harmonisation or merging scenarios have been evaluated. Depending on the merging approach, the magnitude, pattern and uncertainty in the trends strongly vary. The harmonisation or merging represents an additional source of uncertainty in the trends (2 DU decade(-1) on average, in most of the cases exceeding the uncertainty from the regression). For studying further details on tropospheric ozone trends on various spatial scales in the tropics, we stick with one preferred merged dataset that shows best agreement with ozonesondes. In this merged dataset, no correction was applied for GOME, and mean biases with respect to SCIAMACHY in the overlapping period (2007-2012) were calculated and applied for GOME-2 in each grid box (2.5 degrees x 5 degrees). In contrast with other studies we found that the tropospheric trend averaged over the tropics (-15 degrees S to 15 degrees N) is not statistically significant. The mean tropospheric ozone trend equals similar to 0.2 +/- 0.6DUdecade(-1) (2 sigma). Regionally, tropospheric ozone has a statistically significant increase of similar to 3DUdecade(-1) over southern Africa (similar to 1.5% yr(-1)), the southern tropical Atlantic (similar to 1.5% yr(-1)), southeastern tropical Pacific Ocean (similar to 1% yr(-1)), and central Oceania (similar to 2% yr(-1)) and by similar to 2 DU decade(-1) over central Africa (2-2.5% yr(-1)) and south India (similar to 1.5% yr(-1)). On the other hand, tropospheric O-3 decreases by similar to 3 DU decade(-1) over the Caribbean Sea and parts of the North Pacific Ocean (similar to 2% yr(-1)), and by less than 2 DU decade(-1) over some regions of the southern Pacific and Indian oceans (similar to 0.5-1% yr(-1)).