Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.foreco.2017.02.047 |
What to save, the host or the pest? The spatial distribution of xylophage insects within the Mediterranean oak woodlands of Southwestern Spain | |
Duque-Lazo, J.; Navarro-Cerrillo, R. M. | |
2017-05-15 | |
发表期刊 | FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT
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ISSN | 0378-1127 |
EISSN | 1872-7042 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 392 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Spain |
英文摘要 | The Mediterranean oak forests are currently in severe decline. Although the oak decline has been mainly related to Phytophthora sp. and extreme climatic conditions, there are other biotic factors - such as the beetle Cerambyx "complex" - which are also implicated. The future climate change scenarios might aggravate this situation but also might enhance the dispersal and establishment of new beetle populations. We used the Andalusian forest health monitoring network (SEDA Network) to assess the current distribution of the beetles, using the Kernel Density Estimation approach, and the current and future distributions using ensemble Species Distribution Models. Model predictions revealed that dasometric (normal diameter and frequency of oak trees) and climatic (number of days with mean temperature above 30 degrees C) variables were important to estimate the distribution of the Cerambyx "complex". The model performance was analyzed by K, TSS, and AUC, which gave accurate (K > 0.56; TSS > 0.59 & AUC > 0.87) to very accurate (K> 0.63; TSS > 0.64 & AUC > 0.89) results for the models developed only with dasometric variables and with the combination of climatic and dasometric variables, respectively. We found four main regions where the xylophage beetles occur in Andalusia and a larger area which satisfies the environmental requirements of these beetles. The current potential habitat suitability of the xylophage beetles might increase under future climate scenarios, which might enhance the dispersal, colonization, and establishment of new populations of xylophage beetles in Andalusia. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Kernel Density Estimations Mediterranean oak woodlands Oak decline SEDA Network Species Distribution Models Xylophage beetles |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000400201900009 |
WOS关键词 | SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; ENDANGERED LONGHORN BEETLE ; PRINOBIUS-MYARDI MULSANT ; CERAMBYX-WELENSII KUSTER ; MAJELLA NATIONAL-PARK ; COLEOPTERA-CERAMBYCIDAE ; PHYTOPHTHORA-CINNAMOMI ; MARK-RECAPTURE ; DENSITY ; DEHESA |
WOS类目 | Forestry |
WOS研究方向 | Forestry |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/23623 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Univ Cordoba, Sch Agr & Forestry, Dept Forestry, Lab Dendrochronol Selviculture & Climate Change D, Edif Leonardo da Vinci,Campus Rabanales S-N, E-14071 Cordoba, Spain |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Duque-Lazo, J.,Navarro-Cerrillo, R. M.. What to save, the host or the pest? The spatial distribution of xylophage insects within the Mediterranean oak woodlands of Southwestern Spain[J]. FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT,2017,392. |
APA | Duque-Lazo, J.,&Navarro-Cerrillo, R. M..(2017).What to save, the host or the pest? The spatial distribution of xylophage insects within the Mediterranean oak woodlands of Southwestern Spain.FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT,392. |
MLA | Duque-Lazo, J.,et al."What to save, the host or the pest? The spatial distribution of xylophage insects within the Mediterranean oak woodlands of Southwestern Spain".FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT 392(2017). |
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