Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
Time, Uncertainty, and Trade Flows | |
[unavailable] | |
2017-02-21 | |
出版年 | 2017 |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | 国际 |
领域 | 气候变化 |
英文摘要 |
![]() International transit time matters more for South-South trade while uncertainty matters more for North-North trade. We quantify the impact of international transport time on bilateral trade flows in goods using previously unexploited information drawn from a large dataset on international parcel delivery times. In line with previous work, we find that an extra day spent in international transit reduces bilateral trade by just under one percent at the sample median. In addition, and for the first time in the literature, we examine the impact of time-related uncertainty, which requires traders to hold costly inventories or build costly redundancies into supply chains. We find that a one-day increase in international transport time uncertainty reduces bilateral trade flows by just over one percent. Splitting the sample into developing and developed countries shows that international transit time matters primarily for South-South trade, whereas uncertainty is relatively more important for North-North trade. Using new data on trade in intermediate versus final goods, we also find some evidence that time and uncertainty both matter more for movements of intermediates of the type that takes place within global value chains. WORKING PAPER NO: 673 |
URL | 查看原文 |
来源平台 | Asian Development Bank |
文献类型 | 科技报告 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/233867 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | [unavailable]. Time, Uncertainty, and Trade Flows,2017. |
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文件名称/大小 | 文献类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
adbi-wp673.pdf(1805KB) | 科技报告 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 下载 |
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