Policy options for sustainability and resilience in potato value chains in Bihar: a system dynamics approach

GSTDTAP > 气候变化

	Policy options for sustainability and resilience in potato value chains in Bihar: a system dynamics approach
	Rich, Karl; Dizyee, Kanar
	2016
出版年	2016
语种	英语
国家	挪威
出版者	NUPI
领域	气候变化
英文摘要	Potatoes are an important crop for food security in Bihar, providing significant income generating activities for participating farmers and an additional source of diet diversification for consumers. Recent reforms to the Agriculture Production Market Committee (APMC) Act and improvements in state-wide governance have provided further incentives for investment in the potato sector, particularly in cold storage facilities that can mitigate seasonal price fluctuations and improve the availability of potatoes. At the same time, climate change could have severe ramifications on the potato sector in Bihar, with some forecasts redicting a decline in yields of over 20 percent in the coming decades. In this paper, we look at the quantitative impacts over time of different investment, trade, and policy scenarios in the potato value chain, particularly those that can mitigate climate change effects, using a system dynamics model of the potato value chain that builds on previous qualitative studies (e.g. Minten et al. 2011). Preliminary results highlight that reducing storage costs, either through subsidies or increased competition, could reduce the price variability inherent with climatic shocks. On the other hand, encouraging conventional types of cold storage could have additional feedback effects that exacerbate climatic shocks, suggesting a need to consider “climate-smart” investments.
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来源平台	Center for International Climate and Environmental Research-Oslo (CICERO)
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/2305
专题	气候变化
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rich, Karl,Dizyee, Kanar. Policy options for sustainability and resilience in potato value chains in Bihar: a system dynamics approach:NUPI,2016.