Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.14740 |
Genes on the edge: A framework to detect genetic diversity imperiled by climate change | |
Carvalho, Silvia Benoliel; Torres, Joao; Tarroso, Pedro; Velo-Anton, Guillermo | |
2019-12-01 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY |
ISSN | 1354-1013 |
EISSN | 1365-2486 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 25期号:12页码:4034-4047 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Portugal |
英文摘要 | Ongoing global warming is disrupting several ecological and evolutionary processes, spanning different levels of biological organization. Species are expected to shift their ranges as a response to climate change, with relevant implications to peripheral populations at the trailing and leading edges. Several studies have analyzed the exposure of species to climate change but few have explored exposure at the intraspecific level. We introduce a framework to forecast exposure to climate change at the intraspecific level. We build on existing methods by combining correlative species distribution models, a model of species range dynamics, and a model of phylogeographic interpolation. We demonstrate the framework by applying it to 20 Iberian amphibian and reptile species. Our aims were to: (a) identify which species and intraspecific lineages will be most exposed to future climate change; (b) test if nucleotide diversity at the edges of species ranges are significantly higher or lower than on the overall range; and (c) analyze if areas of higher species gain, loss, and turnover coincide with those predicted for lineages richness and nucleotide diversity. We found that about 80% of the studied species are predicted to contract their range. Within each species, some lineages were predicted to contract their range, while others were predicted to maintain or expand it. Therefore, estimating the impacts of climate change at the species level only can underestimate losses at the intraspecific level. Some species had significant high amount of nucleotide at the trailing or leading edge, or both, but we did not find a consistent pattern across species. Spatial patterns of species richness, gain, loss, and turnover were fairly concurrent with lineages richness and nucleotide diversity. Our results support the need for increased attention to intraspecific diversity regarding monitoring and conservation strategies under climate change. |
英文关键词 | leading edge nucleotide diversity phylin range dynamics species distribution models trailing edge |
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000494691700005 |
WOS关键词 | FIBRINOGEN INTRON 7 ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTION ; R PACKAGE ; DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; RANGE CONTRACTION ; CONSERVATION ; CONSEQUENCES ; DISTRIBUTIONS ; VULNERABILITY ; BIODIVERSITY |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/225300 |
专题 | 环境与发展全球科技态势 |
作者单位 | Univ Porto, CIBIO InBIO, Ctr Invest Biodiversidade & Recursos Genet, R Padre Armando Quintas, P-4485661 Vairao, Portugal |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Carvalho, Silvia Benoliel,Torres, Joao,Tarroso, Pedro,et al. Genes on the edge: A framework to detect genetic diversity imperiled by climate change[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2019,25(12):4034-4047. |
APA | Carvalho, Silvia Benoliel,Torres, Joao,Tarroso, Pedro,&Velo-Anton, Guillermo.(2019).Genes on the edge: A framework to detect genetic diversity imperiled by climate change.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,25(12),4034-4047. |
MLA | Carvalho, Silvia Benoliel,et al."Genes on the edge: A framework to detect genetic diversity imperiled by climate change".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 25.12(2019):4034-4047. |
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